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DraftKings. Going to hold my breath and fade Cade Cunningham tonight. The Cavs, whose pick and roll defense was top five in the regular season, did a solid job on the Pistons guard in Game 1, holding Cade to 6/19 shooting en route to a 23 point and 7 assist effort. The Cavs were able to trap/blitz Cade at the point of attack, forcing Detroit to use their secondary playmakers (and Tobias Harris and Ausar Thompson have been meeting the moment). Dean Wade has the size to disrupt Cunningham (akin to Franz Wagner in the first round) - but unlike Orlando, Cleveland’s big men will help to stop the ball. Would bet this down to under 36.5.

Tobias Harris has been sensational for the Pistons throughout the postseason and has seen his scoring average rise over 8 PPG. While he’s playing more and his usage is up, that’s simply unsustainable considering his usage rate, thus hes a regression candidate. This is a bloated line and I would fade him at 17.5 as well.
The Pistons survived their first round as a No. 1 seed. The team took a sigh of relief and outscored the Cavs 37-21 in the opening quarter of Game 1 of the second round. They made Jarrett Allen a non-factor and Cade Cunningham shot just 6-of-19; he’ll do better. Cleveland covered in just 37.8% of road games – only the Wizards were worse. This is also only the fourth time since March 1 the Cavs will be underdogs in a game. The previous three, they lost by 10, 22 and 14. The 10-pointer was Game 1.

Max Strus was excellent in Game 1, scoring 19 points over 28 minutes. That came on the heels of him scoring 12 points in Game 7 against the Raptors in the previous round. He is an excellent three-point shooter and could be primed for more playing time Thursday with Sam Merrill (hamstring) listed as questionable. Given that Merrill battled with an injury to the same hamstring as recently as last month, I don’t think he plays in Game 2. Look for Strus to play around 25 minutes and emerge with double-digit points.

Tobias Harris scored 20 points over 39 minutes in Game 1. That marked his sixth straight game with at least 20 points. During the playoffs, he is averaging 36 minutes and 16.9 shot attempts a night. The increased usage rate is important to note because he is generally an efficient scorer, shooting 46.9% from the field and 36.8% from behind the arc this season. In what should be another close game, Harris is in a favorable position to hit this over.

Not easy fading Cade Cunningham, who leads all NBA players this postseason at 31.3 PPG. But most of that was vs. Orlando. In five games vs. Cleveland this season, including Game 1 on Tuesday, Cunningham has yet to go over 27.5, averaging "only" 19.4 PPG. The Cavs have held him to 33.7% shooting and 21.7% from beyond the arc. He had 23 points in 42 min of Game 1.

Sam Merrill injured his hamstring and left after seven minutes of Game 1. Max Strus stepped up with 19 points, five rebounds and two assists in 28 minutes. Merrill missed Wednesday's practice, got an MRI and is questionable. Given he missed games in March and April due to hamstring issues, and that he was not walking well in the locker room Tuesday night, I don't expect him to play. That would leave Strus with big minutes. Strus missed the first 67 games this season recovering from a fractured foot, then shot 40.2 percent from deep in the final 12 games. In the playoffs, he's 20 of 45 (44.4 percent) from deep. Cleveland needs to replace Merrill's shooting, so Strus should get a lot of opportunities.

Caesar’s. I’m buying into James Harden’s surge on the boards. After finishing the Raptors series with 24 rebounds over the final three games, Harden had 8 on 10 potentials in game 1 against the Pistons. Rebounding has been a point of emphasis for Cleveland since the middle of the Toronto series, and Harden noticeably has upped his willingness going from averaging seven potential rebounds over the first four playoff games to 11.8 over the last four. Look for Harden to continue to make waves on the glass in Game 2.
Team Injuries










