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Thu, May 0711:00 pm UTCLittle Caesars Arena
Cleveland
Cavaliers
CLE
Last 5 ATS
W/L59-36
ATS40-55
O/U48-47-0
FINAL SCORE
97
-
107
Detroit
Pistons
DET
Last 5 ATS
W/L67-28
ATS50-45
O/U44-51-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
59-36
Win /Loss
67-28
40-55
Spread
50-45
48-47-0
Over / Under
44-51-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
CLE @ DET
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MONEYLINE
CLE @ DET
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OVER / UNDER
CLE @ DET
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45%
PUBLIC
55%
MONEY
29%
PUBLIC
71%
MONEY
Over88%
PUBLIC
Under12%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PTS + ASTCade Cunningham Under 37.5 Total Points + Assists -120
WIN
Unit1.0
+1255
19-6 Last 25 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Going to hold my breath and fade Cade Cunningham tonight. The Cavs, whose pick and roll defense was top five in the regular season, did a solid job on the Pistons guard in Game 1, holding Cade to 6/19 shooting en route to a 23 point and 7 assist effort. The Cavs were able to trap/blitz Cade at the point of attack, forcing Detroit to use their secondary playmakers (and Tobias Harris and Ausar Thompson have been meeting the moment). Dean Wade has the size to disrupt Cunningham (akin to Franz Wagner in the first round) - but unlike Orlando, Cleveland’s big men will help to stop the ball. Would bet this down to under 36.5.

Pick Made: May 07, 10:28 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PointsTobias Harris Under 18.5 Total Points -121
LOSS
Unit1.5
+253.5
22-15 Last 37 NBA Player Props
Alex's Analysis:

Tobias Harris has been sensational for the Pistons throughout the postseason and has seen his scoring average rise over 8 PPG. While he’s playing more and his usage is up, that’s simply unsustainable considering his usage rate, thus hes a regression candidate. This is a bloated line and I would fade him at 17.5 as well.

Pick Made: May 07, 2:57 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadDetroit -3.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+701.5
27-15 Last 42 NBA
+230
4-1 Last 5 NBA ATS
Adam's Analysis:

The Pistons survived their first round as a No. 1 seed. The team took a sigh of relief and outscored the Cavs 37-21 in the opening quarter of Game 1 of the second round. They made Jarrett Allen a non-factor and Cade Cunningham shot just 6-of-19; he’ll do better. Cleveland covered in just 37.8% of road games – only the Wizards were worse. This is also only the fourth time since March 1 the Cavs will be underdogs in a game. The previous three, they lost by 10, 22 and 14. The 10-pointer was Game 1.

Pick Made: May 07, 2:49 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
PointsMax Strus Over 9.5 Total Points -111
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2157
127-88 Last 215 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

Max Strus was excellent in Game 1, scoring 19 points over 28 minutes. That came on the heels of him scoring 12 points in Game 7 against the Raptors in the previous round. He is an excellent three-point shooter and could be primed for more playing time Thursday with Sam Merrill (hamstring) listed as questionable. Given that Merrill battled with an injury to the same hamstring as recently as last month, I don’t think he plays in Game 2. Look for Strus to play around 25 minutes and emerge with double-digit points.

Pick Made: May 07, 2:06 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PointsTobias Harris Over 17.5 Total Points -114
WIN
Unit1.0
+2157
127-88 Last 215 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

Tobias Harris scored 20 points over 39 minutes in Game 1. That marked his sixth straight game with at least 20 points. During the playoffs, he is averaging 36 minutes and 16.9 shot attempts a night. The increased usage rate is important to note because he is generally an efficient scorer, shooting 46.9% from the field and 36.8% from behind the arc this season. In what should be another close game, Harris is in a favorable position to hit this over.

Pick Made: May 07, 1:57 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PointsCade Cunningham Under 27.5 Total Points -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+608
14-7 Last 21 NBA Player Props
David's Analysis:

Not easy fading Cade Cunningham, who leads all NBA players this postseason at 31.3 PPG. But most of that was vs. Orlando. In five games vs. Cleveland this season, including Game 1 on Tuesday, Cunningham has yet to go over 27.5, averaging "only" 19.4 PPG. The Cavs have held him to 33.7% shooting and 21.7% from beyond the arc. He had 23 points in 42 min of Game 1.

Pick Made: May 07, 1:50 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBMax Strus Over 15.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2579
82-47 Last 129 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

Sam Merrill injured his hamstring and left after seven minutes of Game 1. Max Strus stepped up with 19 points, five rebounds and two assists in 28 minutes. Merrill missed Wednesday's practice, got an MRI and is questionable. Given he missed games in March and April due to hamstring issues, and that he was not walking well in the locker room Tuesday night, I don't expect him to play. That would leave Strus with big minutes. Strus missed the first 67 games this season recovering from a fractured foot, then shot 40.2 percent from deep in the final 12 games. In the playoffs, he's 20 of 45 (44.4 percent) from deep. Cleveland needs to replace Merrill's shooting, so Strus should get a lot of opportunities.

Pick Made: May 07, 1:09 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
ReboundsJames Harden Over 4.5 Total Rebounds -145
WIN
Unit1.0
+1255
19-6 Last 25 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

Caesar’s. I’m buying into James Harden’s surge on the boards. After finishing the Raptors series with 24 rebounds over the final three games, Harden had 8 on 10 potentials in game 1 against the Pistons. Rebounding has been a point of emphasis for Cleveland since the middle of the Toronto series, and Harden noticeably has upped his willingness going from averaging seven potential rebounds over the first four playoff games to 11.8 over the last four. Look for Harden to continue to make waves on the glass in Game 2.

Pick Made: May 07, 1:15 am UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Cleveland Cavaliers
Friday, May 15, 2026
Avatar
PF
Larry Nance Jr.
IllnessQuestionable
Detroit Pistons
Sunday, May 17, 2026
Avatar
C
Charles Bediako
Not Injury Related
Saturday, May 16, 2026
Avatar
SG
Caris LeVert
HeelQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Duncan Robinson
BackQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Kevin Huerter
ThighQuestionable
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