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Wed, Feb 0412:00 am UTCLittle Caesars Arena
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L34-20
ATS31-23
O/U34-20-0
FINAL SCORE
121
-
124
Detroit
Pistons
DET
Last 5 ATS
W/L39-13
ATS28-24
O/U22-30-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
34-20
Win /Loss
39-13
31-23
Spread
28-24
34-20-0
Over / Under
22-30-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DEN @ DET
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MONEYLINE
DEN @ DET
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OVER / UNDER
DEN @ DET
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72%
PUBLIC
28%
MONEY
41%
PUBLIC
59%
MONEY
Over82%
PUBLIC
Under18%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadDenver +5.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+693
30-21 in Last 51 NBA ATS Picks
+618
14-7 in Last 21 DEN ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

These two met last week in Denver and the Pistons pulled out a 109-107 decision, but there's a big difference in the rematch. Big indeed, as Nikola Jokic has returned to active duty since for the Nuggets, and looked no worse for wear in his return game last Friday vs. the Clippers when scoring 31 in a 122-109 Denver win. Jokic played 29 minutes on Sunday vs. OKC and scored 16, and even though the Nuggets lost, it was a good battle vs. the champs, and the Joker's minutes are on the increase. Granted, Detroit is formidable and off a 53-point wipeout of the Nets, but is only 5-6 vs. the spread since January 10. Play Nuggets

Pick Made: Feb 03, 9:31 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBJalen Duren Under 29.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1112
88-66 in Last 154 NBA Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

Caesar’s. This is a brutal matchup for Jalen Duren, The first-time All Star will go toe-to-toe with Nikola Jokic, who is built back up to 30 minutes post-injury, and seems poised to take on his normal workload. Jokic (and Jonas Valanciunas) will camp out in the paint defensively and make life difficult for Duren around the basket and on the glass. Plus, Jokic is fourth in the NBA in fouls drawn per game (6.6) and Duren is in the 5th percentile of all players in fouls per game. A lot would have to go right (no foul trouble, cooperative gamescript, strong performance in a below average matchup) for Duren to clear this line. I’d bet this down to under 28.5.

Pick Made: Feb 03, 2:59 pm UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Denver Nuggets
Monday, Dec 22, 2025
Avatar
SG
Tamar Bates
FootOut
Tuesday, Feb 10, 2026
Avatar
C
Nikola Jokic
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
PG
Jamal Murray
HipQuestionable
Avatar
SF
Spencer Jones
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Christian Braun
AnkleQuestionable
Thursday, Feb 05, 2026
Avatar
SF
Peyton Watson
HamstringOut
Thursday, Jan 29, 2026
Avatar
PF
Aaron Gordon
HamstringOut
Detroit Pistons
Tuesday, Feb 10, 2026
Avatar
PF
Tolu Smith
CalfOut
Avatar
SF
Ron Holland
PersonalOut
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