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This looks like bad news in Sacto, where team chemistry seems all wrong as the losses mount. The defense, in particular, has been spotty, allowing 132 pg in the current four-game losing streak, as the seat beneath HC Doug Christie becomes undeniably warm. The Kings probably aren't anxious to see the T-wolves, either, after bowing 144-117 at Golden 1 Center last Sunday when Minnesota hit 54% from the floor. The Wolves have the NBA's second-ranked offense in November, and they're well-rested, having last played on Monday. Note Anthony Edwards is on fire, scoring at a 33 pg clip the past three. Play T-wolves

This is a big line for Russell Westbrook who still has some gas in the tank but in a difficult matchup with blowout potential, this is an auto fade for me.

The Kings are one of the higher shots blocked teams (5.2 per game on the road). They are a team where 85% of FGAs are by wing players and guards who Anthony Edwards will likely be matched up on especially if the athletic wings (LaVine, DeRozan, Westbrook) look to challenge Edwards and make him work defensively. This is another simple case where our projection (0.52) and his average (0.7) and his trend (26-22 over at home) all point over and we are getting good +$$$.

My theory is when management makes a somewhat controversial decision, like signing Russell Westbrook, they do everything, especially initially, to make the deal look like a no brainer. Westbrook put up really nice stat lines capped by a 3 game stretch with 23+ points, two 12+ rebound games, and 9+ assists (in 2 games). But ultimately, the Kings stink with a 3-9 record (last year they scraped near .500 with 40 wins). His PRA average is 26.5 and this line implies a regression to his pre 11/9 averages, but I think the last week is an indicator of an overall downward trend for Westbrook.
Team Injuries




