I’ve been very impressed with Keyonte George who is playing big minutes for the Jazz as their starting PG. George is averaging just shy of 11 R+A on the season and this is a friendly number in what projects to be a competitive game environment. George has double digit assist upside and considering his role, usage, and playing time, this looks like a good spot to back the talented young guard.

Andrew Nembhard has logged at least 30 minutes in both games since returning from his shoulder injury. In his first game back, he had 22 points and six assists versus the Nuggets. In his second game, he recorded 14 points and nine assists against the Warriors. What you like to see for this prop is that he attempted a total of 36 shots across the two games, 19 of which came from behind the arc. The Jazz have the seventh-worst defensive rating and have given up the fourth-most assists per game in the league, so the over is the way to go here.

This line implies 45.4% but our model has the Jazz favored 51.4% making this a solid value. You can throw out all the stats of the Pacers' Finals team from a year ago. They are 0-5 on the road this season with a -16 point differential. Utah has the same lousy -16 pt differential on the road (just 1-5) but at home they are a very solid 2-2 straight up, 4-0 ATS with a +4 point differential.