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Tue, Oct 2111:30 pm UTCPaycom Center
Houston
Rockets
HOU
Last 5 ATS
W/L15-5
ATS14-6
O/U11-9-0
FINAL SCORE
124
-
125
Oklahoma City
Thunder
OKC
Last 5 ATS
W/L21-1
ATS11-11
O/U12-10-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
15-5
Win /Loss
21-1
14-6
Spread
11-11
11-9-0
Over / Under
12-10-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
HOU @ OKC
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
HOU @ OKC
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OVER / UNDER
HOU @ OKC
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63%
PUBLIC
37%
MONEY
14%
PUBLIC
86%
MONEY
Over82%
PUBLIC
Under18%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PTS + ASTIsaiah Hartenstein Over 13.5 Total Points + Assists -121
LOSS
Unit1.0
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. In his first campaign with the Thunder, Isaiah Hartenstein averaged 15 points plus assists per game. While his production and minutes waned in the playoffs, I’m counting on the big man to play a crucial role out of the gate for Oklahoma City, who will be without Jalen Williams. Taking on the Rockets, who’ve already tipped their hand that they’ll be starting a massive lineup, I like the matchup for Hartenstein. I’m expecting Houston to play some zone, which should give Hartenstein open looks for his patented push shot from the mid-paint. Houston also looked disjointed defensively in the preseason, especially their double-big looks. Hartenstein cleared this line in six of eight without Williams last year, and in all four games against the Rockets.

Pick Made: Oct 21, 5:40 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadHouston +7 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+318
4-1 in Last 5 NBA Picks
+286
4-1 in Last 5 NBA ATS Picks
+780
10-2 in Last 12 HOU ATS Picks
Tim's Analysis:

OKC had the best regular-season point differential (+12.9) in NBA history and the most double-digit wins (54) in a season. But that was last year, and the Rockets in my eyes are true contenders to win it all by adding Kevin Durant. Too many emotions for OKC, too many points to give Houston.

Pick Made: Oct 21, 1:28 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
AssistsAlperen Sengun Over 5.5 Total Assists -144
WIN
Unit1.0
+161
33-27 in Last 60 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Alperen Sengun is one of the best passing big men in the league. He averaged 4.9 assists per game last season and the Rockets will need him to be even more of a playmaker this season with Fred VanVleet out with a torn ACL. The Rockets have already said that they will go big against the Thunder, starting Amen Thompson at point guard and bringing Reed Sheppard off the bench. I like them to run their offense through Sengun, so I’ll pay the juice that comes with this over.

Pick Made: Oct 21, 1:00 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PTS + AST + REBReed Sheppard Over 13.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -120
WIN
Unit0.5
+19.5
8-6 in Last 14 NBA Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Reed Sheppard did nothing last year as the No. 3 overall pick out of the draft and was demoted to the G-League at one point. But he will have a major role this season with Fred VanVleet out for the year. Sheppard had big numbers this preseason and should be the Sixth Man in the early going. He topped this in points alone usually in the preseason.

Pick Made: Oct 21, 12:50 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
StealsShai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 1.5 Total Steals -124
WIN
Unit1.0
Stephen's Analysis:

Last season he averaged 1.9 at home (31-23, 57.4%) vs just 1.5 (25-21) on the road. He averaged 2.4 steals per game last season vs Houston and as we said above we project the Rockets to have nearly 20 turnovers and project SGA for over 2 steals.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 4:12 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Houston Rockets
Friday, Dec 05, 2025
Avatar
C
Alperen Sengun
IllnessOut
Wednesday, Dec 03, 2025
Avatar
PF
Dorian Finney-Smith
AnkleOut
Avatar
PF
Tari Eason
ObliqueOut
Tuesday, Oct 21, 2025
Avatar
PG
Fred VanVleet
KneeOut
Oklahoma City Thunder
Friday, Dec 05, 2025
Avatar
SG
Isaiah Joe
KneeOut
Thursday, Dec 04, 2025
Avatar
PG
Alex Caruso
QuadricepsOut
Avatar
SF
Luguentz Dort
ThighOut
Saturday, Nov 29, 2025
Avatar
C
Isaiah Hartenstein
CalfOut
Thursday, Oct 30, 2025
Avatar
PG
Nikola Topic
GroinOut
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
PF
Thomas Sorber
KneeOut
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