A team that is consistently favored on the road can be tough to evaluate. The Minnesota Timberwolves are coming off a heart breaking loss to the Milwaukee Bucks in which they blew a 24 point fourth quarter lead. It ended their five game winning streak, but expect Minnesota to rally off that loss. Memphis may be on a winning streak, but they’ve had their issues at home losing four out of their last five. Take the Twolves to finish off their road finale with a win.

Ja Morant is looking like an All-NBA guard and MVP candidate since the Grizzlies moved on from Head Coach Taylor Jenkins. Morant has cleared this line in 7 of his previous 10 appearances and has seen his usage and minutes spike as the Grizz look to avoid the Play-In. This is a must win game for both teams and I expect Morant to play upwards of 38-40 minutes.

Hop on this while you still can, time to sell high. While Zach Edey is great and just put up wild numbers in his last outing, we have to remember that was against Charlotte. The middle of the West is ridiculously competitive and this is a massive game for teams looking to avoid the Play-In. This is a sell high line that is a full six points over his season home average of 17.6. I don't think he will play enough minutes to have a chance at this over, and even if he does, he is still 22-8 to the under on this specific line at home.

It's hard to gauge motivation for many teams this week but after allowing a 34-3 run to the Bucks, I suspect the Wolves try to play a full 4 quarters here before the playoff start. Memphis firing their coach didn't help their broken D much - Grizz allowing 124/G at home over the last 13 games and have given up 115 or more in 11 of those contests. The Grizz are just 16th in overall D rating over the last 15 games and really bad vs the 3 ball (27th) in that span. Opponents are shooting 25 FT/G over last 15 games, 4th most in NBA. The Wolves are 7th in 3-point attempts and percentage over the last 15 games. This game could get wild.