The Houston Rockets are coming off a down performance where they lost outright to the Utah Jazz. They are also dealing with Fred VanVleet being out, and Dillon Brooks questionable with an illness. Still, the Bucks may be on a four game win streak but they have had to erase deficits to for comeback wins in their last three victories. Look for that dynamic to play its hand for the Rockets who are excellent on their home floor with an 18-9 record.

This feels a couple of points low as our model has Giannis at 29.1 points, and he's averaging 31.0 on the season ... but has only topped this number once in four February games, which I guess is why it's rather low. But the Freak also has been on a bit of a minutes limit of late and shouldn't be here after getting 32 minutes Sunday vs. Miami.

This line is on its way down. Fred VanVleet is expected to play tonight after a lengthy absence which should eat into Amen Thompson's minutes. Jabari Smith is also back, so we should see Thompson's minutes back to what they were in the first half of the season. The line has not adjusted to this and it might be the last time we get a PRA this high for Thompson. When the team was at full strength Nov/Dec, he averaged just 21.3 and was 6-26 over this number.

We're getting a sizable discount on this combo line considering Giannis is averaging a combined 36.8 PA on the season. This will be Giannis 4th game back since returning from a calf injury that cost the former MVP a couple of weeks. Giannis played 32 minutes in his last outing and I expect that number to inch closer to 35 against Houston. I also like Giannis other props including his scoring, PRA, PR in that order, with his PA being my favorite of the group and biggest edge.

The Rockets might get starting point guard Fred VanVleet back from injury for the first time since Feb. 1. Jabari Smith just returned from a long absence of his own over the weekend. Center Alperen Sengun has recorded four straight double-doubles. The Bucks are playing well again and healthy (w/o the suspended Bobby Portis) but three games under .500 away. It's also one of those one-game trips that players hate with Milwaukee back home Thursday for a marquee matchup vs. Denver.