The Suns have lost five of the last seven games including the last three without Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal. Durant is supposed to play today and who knows about Beal, but who cares about Beal? When Booker, Beal, and Durant are playing together they're just .500. The Grizzlies have won their last two against Phoenix including December 31st this season when they won 117-112. The Grizzlies have the No. 5 offense in the NBA and the No. 1 scoring team in the NBA. The Grizzlies have won 10 of their last 12 with the last one losing to the NBA's best team Oklahoma City. Memphis has 35 wins and 34 covers against the spread. Memphis wins.

Our model has Ja Morant at 29.4 P/A tonight for what should be a very high-scoring, back-and-forth matchup in Phoenix considering Kevin Durant is back for the Suns. On the road this season, Morant's splits are a bit better and he's at 29.2 P/A. I can see Morant wanting to make a statement on national TV after not being chosen for the West All-Star team -- and Ja also struggled quite a bit last time out vs. defensively excellent OKC, so I don't think motivation will be an issue tonight.

Ja Morant has scored 25+ points in two of his previous three games and I like his chances of making it three of his last four when he takes on the Phoenix Suns tonight. This game has a whopping 245 point total and should feature plenty of offense. Phoenix has been dreadful defensively recently and Memphis leads the NBA in possessions per game. I would play this prop up to 32.5.

The Suns did nothing significant enough at the deadline and KD being dangled - allegedly - might not bode for them. Stuck with Beal and going nowhere. We love to ride the Grizz, who won by five here earlier. MEM 10-4 ATS last 14 and covered six of last seven on road. Grizz are 23-11 ATS as favorite and 19-9 ATS on equal rest. Suns 12-16 ATS on equal rest, 8-17-1 at home and have covered once in five games, getting blown out three times. Suns 21st in D Rating over last 15 games; Grizz 3rd on O Rating in that span. Suns can't handle the Memphis' depth or pace.