Atlanta isn't a particularly good defensive team but is a starting Bucks 5 of Damian Lillard, Andre Jackson, Taurean Prince, Bobby Portis and Brook Lopez (and obviously bench) going to score 123 without Giannis? Certainly possible, but Milwaukee is averaging 108.5 PPG without the Freak this season.

DraftKings. Dyson Daniels has cleared this line in 7 of his last 8 games. Specifically in the last six games (corresponding with Jalen Johnson’s season ending injury), Daniels is averaging 12.3 potential assists per game, with 10+ in each contest over that span. Now with the Hawks sans DeAndre Hunter and Bogdan Bogdanovic, Daniels will likely take on an even larger on-ball role. He’s been strong on the boards too, and the Bucks are a solid matchup for non-center rebounds. Milwaukee allows the fifth most rebounds per game overall, but the 13th fewest to opposing centers.

Laying significant points on the road with a team that has been slumping and has been down its best player should be a red flag. So it is for Milwaukee, with losses in four of five, the lone win on Wednesday at lowly Charlotte, while Giannis has missed the last two with a calf strain that has rendered him questionable again for tonight. The four previous losses were all by double-digit margins as well. The Hawks aren't doing much lately, either, losing nine of ten, but the last two (a close win over Detroit and a 1-point loss to San Antonio) have been decent efforts, and Trae Young (scoring 32+ in the last three) reportedly good to go despite dealing with Achilles issues. Play Hawks

Amidst the Atlanta Hawks vast changes has rose Dyson Daniels role when it comes to scoring. In three straight games, Daniels has scored 19 points or more, which is five points higher than his season average. He’s also filling in rebounds and assists which makes his role vital on a team lacking depth. Ride his points over trend tonight against the Bucks.

Milwaukee multiple times this season has rode extreme waves of winning and losing. After a four game losing streak, they did their job in Wednesday’s win over the Charlotte Hornets. Tonight, they get another opportunity against a below .500 team in the Atlanta Hawks who have dropped nine of ten games. Take the Bucks with new pieces to build upon their Hornets performance.

The Hawks are chucking it up from all over and running up the scoreboard while playing tepid-at-best defense. Hmm. They have scored 115+ in four straight games and played four straight overs. Those overs hit by at least eight points. Hmm, Bucks added Kyle Kuzma - who doesn't care about defense - and lost length in dealing Khris Middleton. Bucks have allowed 125+ in four of their last five games. Hmm, They are over in 10 of their last 14 games. I could see Trae Young and Dame trading bombs. The Greek Freak has been in top scoring form. Bucks are a flawed team that always seem to let suspect teams hang around.