We have to fade the season trend here, and look at this specific lineup. The Nets will be without Dennis Smith and Dorian Finney-Smith, which should keep Schroder on the court tonight. The over is solid 24-17 when he plays 32+ minutes, and we get a good bounce back spot from his game against Sacramento. There has to be regression up from going 1-12 shooting and 0-6 from three. The model makes the number 27.5.

This is a great spot for Mikal Bridges who has really seen his production plummet over the last 2+ months and his efficiency has decreased as well. It wasn't long ago that Bridges averaged nearly 26 PPG on respectable shooting splits, and you'd find this number between 33.5 and 35.5. We can't ask for a better spot than against a Raptors team playing zero defense (25th in DEF Efficiency) and playing up tempo as of late. If there is a get right spot for Bridges, this is it, coupled with a huge discount on all his lines.

Bridges has been slumping but still averages 20.0 points on the season, 21.3 ppg at home and 18.7 vs. Toronto. The Raptors play absolutely zero defense and are in the second of a B2B. The SL Model has Bridges with 18.5 points.

Hell yeah we are back on Claxton vs a terrible rebounding team. Cashed twice last week vs IND (13 and 11 reb) and recently vs WSH (13) and TOR (16 on 3/25). Grabbing 15 here is not out of the question. Averaging 11/G last 10 and TOR allowing 48 opponent rebounds/G since ASG (tied with WSH for last). TOR got destroyed on Tues while Claxton could rest up. Claxton has 11+ boards in 6 of last 7 and 13+ in 4 of 7. TOR throwing up shots from all over, but scoring enough now to likely keep it close enough for Claxton to play around 30 mins. Nets are favored; Claxton has 13+ rebounds in 4 of their last 5 Ws.

These two teams met last month and playing a game under 200 points. But things have changed since then. Nets are rare fresh team in NBA having Tues off. Raptors D continues to hit new lows, allowing 140 to IND. TOR worst D in NBA since ASG. TOR over in 6 of 7, covering those 6 by 22.5, 17, 4, 25, 40 and 34.5. AVG game total last 7 games: 243! BKL game totals 216+ in 6 of last 7. TOR offense boosted by Barrett and Quickley return but D is even worse.