Heat are great v power forwards. And he doesn’t play enough to make this number anything but an under play.

I don't even like the NBA at this point -- being in south Florida, I was rather looking forward to watching this but now Jimmy Butler is out for the Heat (along with Tyler Herro and Duncan Robinson). Patently absurd guys sitting out left and right when you know they could play. The Heat tend to have weird results regardless so a win would not shock me but have to take the Dubs against a starting Miami backcourt of likely Terry Rozier and Patty Mills. No Butler pushed this up 40 cents or so.

The Warriors have a lot of other excellent passers on their team, including Stephen Curry, Chris Paul and Draymond Green. Jonathan Kuminga is looking to score. His 24.4 percent usage rate is the second-highest mark on the team. That has contributed to Kuminga dishing out two or fewer assists in eight of his last 10 games. In what could be a low-scoring game against a Heat team that has played at the second-slowest pace in the league, assists should be difficult to come by for Kuminga.

The Miami Heat and their defense has been rounding into form and have been shutting down their opponents recently. Miami has been especially tough on opposing PFs having surrendered the fewest points to the position over their last 15 games. Kuminga has enjoyed a breakout season for the Warriors but doesn't contribute a whole lot aside from scoring. Also the majority of Kumingas shot attempts come within 15 feet of the basket where the Heat defense really shines. Miami surrenders the second fewest points in the paint on a per game basis. Look for Kuminga to struggle against a red hot Miami defense.