Not sure I've ever played a moneyline against the Nuggets in Denver -- at least the past three seasons. But with Jaylen Brown in, we have to take Boston this cheap even in the toughest place to win in the NBA. The second-toughest place? Perhaps Boston and the Nuggets handed the C's their first loss of the season there after a 20-0 start. So no lack of motivation here for the visitors. Boston is simply a lot deeper. Don't believe in lookahead games? See what both these teams did Tuesday.

Maybe surprisingly (or maybe not), these contenders have been trending to the "under" for much of the season. That was certainly the case in the January 19 clash at TD Garden that landed 102-100 in Denver's favor, far far beneath the low 230s "total" that night. For the Nuggets, it was also almost all Jamal Murray (scored 35) and the Joker (34 points) doing the damage. Trendlines to note overall fit the same narrative, with Denver "under" 7-2-1 its last ten at home (facing several contenders in that mix), and Boston on a 15-7 "under" run into tonight. Play Celtics-Nuggets "Under"