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Sun, Mar 038:30 pm UTCTD Garden
Golden State
Warriors
GS
Last 5 ATS
W/L46-36
ATS42-38
O/U40-41-1
FINAL SCORE
88
-
140
Boston
Celtics
BOS
Last 5 ATS
W/L64-18
ATS42-36
O/U43-38-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
46-36
Win /Loss
64-18
42-38
Spread
42-36
40-41-1
Over / Under
43-38-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
GS @ BOS
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MONEYLINE
GS @ BOS
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OVER / UNDER
GS @ BOS
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64%
PUBLIC
36%
MONEY
17%
PUBLIC
83%
MONEY
Over53%
PUBLIC
Under47%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total ReboundsDraymond Green Over 7.5 Total Rebounds -114
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

Draymond is doing all the dirty work and staying out of trouble these days and back to being a rebound machine. And the Celtics do a lot well, but opponents get plenty of rebounds and it's not 7-footers, either. The Warriors had a ridiculous 59 rebounds in their win over Boston and Draymond didn't even play. His understudies combined for 10 boards. Draymond has 31 rebounds on this 3 game trip and 56 in 6 games since the ASG, regularly playing close to 30 mins. Double digits is within reach here

Pick Made: Mar 03, 8:00 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total ReboundsStephen Curry Over 4.5 Total Rebounds +123
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

Steph's rebounding has keyed the Warriors great road trip as much as his shooting. This facet of his game gets slept on, and he is especially instinctive on the road. Steph grabbed this in the first quarter the other night at MSG alone. His road totals since Feb. 1: 6, 11, 5, 2, 6, 2, 3, 5, 6, 6. He's averaging right at this number. The Celtics allow the 4th most REB/G to guards (28/G) and 3rd most offensive REB/G to guards in the NBA. I expect Steph to be at his scrappy best against one of the NBA's best.

Pick Made: Mar 03, 1:38 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total 3pt Field GoalsStephen Curry Under 5.5 Total 3pt Field Goals -143
WIN
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

This is a big number even for the GOAT shooter in Steph Curry. Curry averages approximately 5.0 made threes per game. Curry has been held under this line in 33/56 appearances or 59% of games this season. Steph will face a stingy Boston defense that is ranked 2nd in total defense and surrenders the third lowest percentage of deep at just 34.9%. While Curry is capable of erupting against any defense, the Celtics are 11 point favorites at home and there is certainly some blowout potential here as well.

Pick Made: Mar 03, 8:10 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineGolden St. +425
LOSS
Unit0.5
+100
2-1 in Last 3 GS ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Warriors are playing loose ball and clearly having fun and are on quite a tear. Doesn't seem crazy to me that they could finish this road trip undefeated. They are using a solid rotation, Steph is back in peak shooting form, they hustle and hoard rebounds and have seemed to want these games more lately. They beat the Celtics once already and their style of ball could give Boston some problems Sunday.

Pick Made: Mar 03, 3:45 am UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadGolden St. +11 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+674
45-35 in Last 80 NBA ATS Picks
+295
13-9-1 in Last 23 GS ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

This has been an epic road trip for the Warriors and they have made me a believer. They have shined in let down spots and risen to the occasion in big spots and they'll give the Celtics a game here. Celtics struggle with top rebounding guards and GS beat them in first meeting. Warriors are on 9-0 ATS run on the road, with 7 covers by 7.5 points and 8 by 10+ and an average cover margin of 14. GS is 11-4 ATS last 15 games overall. Celtics are playing well but this game means more to Warriors. BOS on 5-0 ATS run but just 2-3 ATS last 5 at home. Steph, Draymond and Klay are turning back the clock and youngsters keep stepping up.

Pick Made: Mar 03, 3:32 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Golden State Warriors
Friday, Dec 05, 2025
Avatar
C
Al Horford
BackOut
Avatar
SF
Jimmy Butler
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Seth Curry
ToeQuestionable
Avatar
SG
De'Anthony Melton
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
SF
Alex Toohey
KneeOut
Thursday, Dec 04, 2025
Avatar
PF
Draymond Green
FootQuestionable
Wednesday, Dec 03, 2025
Avatar
PG
Stephen Curry
QuadricepsOut
Boston Celtics
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
PF
Jayson Tatum
AchillesOut
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