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How times change! By 2023-24 standards, an NBA "total" in the 2-teens seems a rock-bottom number, but it has been wholly appropriate lately for the Nets, currently on an 8-1 "under" run. Kevin Ollie is finally on the board with a win for Brooklyn last night in Memphis but note the Nets had scored under 100 points in three straight prior to last night vs. the Grizzlies. Meanwhile, Orlando defensive numbers have not been bad, including the last four games allowing just 107 ppg. Let's make the Nets break their current trends before peeling away from the recent Brooklyn "under" angle. Play Nets-Magic "Under"
We've been fading the Nets on the road and they showed up on Monday in Memphis to burn us, but this is a brutal spot for them. This is tight travel and a 5th straight road game before they go home. Nets are 8-12 ATS as road dog, and Vegas can't get Magic home lines right. Orlando is on a 4-0 run ATS as a home favorite and are 10-3 on the season. Here are the margins they covered by on those 10 games: 14.5, 1, 5.5, 17, 7.5, 21.5, 9, 6.5, 17.5, 25.5. Not exactly sweating it out. Magic back at home for first time in two weeks. I expect them to show up. Nets have trouble scoring; Magic 5th in home defensive rating.