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Fri, Feb 0912:30 am UTCMadison Square Garden
Dallas
Mavericks
DAL
Last 5 ATS
W/L50-32
ATS47-33
O/U36-43-1
FINAL SCORE
122
-
108
New York
Knicks
NY
Last 5 ATS
W/L50-32
ATS42-37
O/U37-45-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
50-32
Win /Loss
50-32
47-33
Spread
42-37
36-43-1
Over / Under
37-45-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DAL @ NY
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MONEYLINE
DAL @ NY
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OVER / UNDER
DAL @ NY
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77%
PUBLIC
23%
MONEY
78%
PUBLIC
22%
MONEY
Over55%
PUBLIC
Under45%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total PointsMiles McBride Under 17.5 Total Points +136
LOSS
Unit0.25
+743.5
34-17 Last 51 NBA Player Props
Matt's Analysis:

Look, I get it that McBride is going to play a lot tonight with the Knicks so short-handed and get plenty of shots. But he's averaging 5.5 ppg this season. All of a sudden he will be Bernard King with heavy minutes? He may well score 30. But to me this feels more like that little girl Violet Beauregarde in Willy Wonka and the Chocolate Factory who ate too much blueberry gum and like exploded or whatever (overreach, etc.). Hey, it makes sense in my noggin. Plus, this price ...

Pick Made: Feb 08, 11:57 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsJosh Green Over 10.5 Total Points -125
WIN
Unit1.0
Mike's Analysis:

The Mavericks were active at the trade deadline, acquiring Daniel Gafford and P.J. Washington. Neither of them will be available for this game, and they shipped out Grant Williams, Seth Curry and Richaun Holmes in the deals. Dereck Lively II (nose) is also out, while Maxi Kleber (toe) is listed as questionable. Josh Green should be left to play a ton of minutes. He has already scored at least 11 points in eight of his last 10 games, so I’m rolling with this over.

Pick Made: Feb 08, 7:49 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 229 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 Last 347 NBA
+1667
88-65 Last 153 NBA O/U
Bruce's Analysis:

Maybe the Knicks were due to eventually cool down, but the numbers are still pretty good across the past month (16-3 SU, 14-5 vs. line since New Year's). And we're just talking about the last two games that the Knicks didn't cover, though they were shorthanded in the loss to the Lakers and still beat the Grizzlies on Tuesday night. The concern tonight is that Jalen Brunson likely joins Julius Randle and OJ Anunoby on the sidelines, and Dallas enters having won at both Philly and Brooklyn (in Kyrie Irving's return game vs. the Nets). This, however, looks a perfect spot for Tom Thibodeau to deploy his various defensive tricks, and note NY is also on an 18-3 "under" run. Play Mavs-Knicks "Under"

Pick Made: Feb 08, 1:43 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Avatar
Total Rebounds + AssistsLuka Doncic Under 19.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -135
WIN
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 Last 557 NBA Player Props
Alex's Analysis:

Luka is averaging a combined 18.2 Rebounds & Assists this season, however that number shrinks to just 16.6 when Kyrie Irving is active which will be the case this evening when Luka and co. take on the Knicks at MSG. The Knicks surrender the fewest rebounds (48.6) to opponents, in addition to the 9th fewest APG (29.5). New York averages just 100.2 possessions per game, good for the 2nd fewest in the league which explains why they give up such low RA numbers. Knicks star guard Jalen Brunson may also miss this game which would provide some additional blowout outs.

Pick Made: Feb 08, 9:33 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineDallas -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+2001.25
170-108 Last 278 NBA
+1841
107-55 Last 162 NBA ML
+1030
35-16 Last 51 NBA ML
Matt's Analysis:

This is all about whether Jalen Brunson plays after spraining his ankle Tuesday against Memphis when Coach Tom Thibodeau -- as he is known to do -- put Brunson in a game late when he didn't need to. I don't miss Thibs after also wrecking Derrick Rose, Kerry Wood and Mark Prior due to overuse. Cross-sport props there, but you get the point. Reading the NY papers, and yep I'm still a newspaper guy, it will be a surprise if Brunson plays (questionable), and if he doesn't this obviously rises a fair amount (I'm sure a little is already baked in the number) with OG Anunoby, Quentin Grimes and Julius Randle all still out. Luka and Kyrie are both listed probable.

Pick Made: Feb 08, 2:44 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Dallas Mavericks
Wednesday, Dec 10, 2025
Avatar
C
Dereck Lively II
FootOut
Monday, Apr 13, 2026
Avatar
SF
Cooper Flagg
AnkleOut
Sunday, Apr 12, 2026
Avatar
SF
Caleb Martin
HeelOut
Avatar
PF
PJ Washington
ElbowOut
Avatar
SG
Naji Marshall
HipOut
Avatar
C
Marvin Bagley III
ShoulderOut
Avatar
PG
Brandon Williams
IllnessOut
Wednesday, Feb 18, 2026
Avatar
PG
Kyrie Irving
KneeOut
New York Knicks
No Player Injuries
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