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Thu, Apr 271:30 am UTCFiserv Forum
Miami
Heat
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L58-49
ATS46-58
O/U51-54-2
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Milwaukee
Bucks
MIL
Last 5 ATS
W/L59-28
ATS43-38
O/U47-40-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
58-49
Win /Loss
59-28
46-58
Spread
43-38
51-54-2
Over / Under
47-40-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ MIL
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MONEYLINE
MIA @ MIL
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OVER / UNDER
MIA @ MIL
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total AssistsGiannis Antetokounmpo Over 6.5 Total Assists -117
LOSS
Unit1.0
Larry's Analysis:

With Game 4 on the line in Miami, the Bucks let Giannis Antetokounmpo bring up the ball and make a play. It didn't always work out, as he finished with six turnovers to go with 13 assists. Wednesday night, I'm expecting a big offensive performance from Milwaukee. The Bucks are at home and facing elimination versus a depleted Heat roster. Look for Antetokounmpo to dish out at least seven assists.

Pick Made: Apr 26, 6:15 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total PointsJimmy Butler Under 29.5 Total Points -129
LOSS
Unit1.0
+640.25
28-17 in Last 45 NBA Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Maybe I'm dense for going Under Butler's point total off his epic 56-point game, but don't the Bucks have to make it their only priority tonight to make other Heat guys beat them and not Butler? That's part of the reason why I'll lean Under but also I have a suspicion that the Bucks destroy Miami (I'm not interested in the spread as of right now but that may change) and Butler doesn't play heavy minutes ahead of a chance to clinch the series again at home Friday. Butler is also shooting nearly 63% from the field and that's simply not sustainable. The SL Model has him with 24 points tonight. Bueno.

Pick Made: Apr 26, 4:08 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total Rebounds + AssistsKhris Middleton Over 11.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -121
WIN
Unit1.0
+1245
28-13 in Last 41 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Khris Middleton averaged 4.2 rebounds and 4.9 assists despite logging just 24 minutes per game during the regular season because of injuries. He’s now healthy for the playoffs, which has resulted in him averaging 33 minutes in this series. With him playing so much, he has recorded at least 12 combined rebounds and assists in three of the four games. The one time that he missed, he had 11. With the Bucks trying to stay alive in the playoffs, I like Middleton to play a lot and go over this number.

Pick Made: Apr 26, 2:57 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total PointsBam Adebayo Under 17.5 Total Points -123
LOSS
Unit1.0
Larry's Analysis:

Heat center Bam Adebayo, who is playing through a hamstring strain, is 10 for 26 over the past two games. He scored 12 and 15 in those contests. This game has the potential to be a Bucks' blowout, in which case Miami would be better served conserving Adebayo for Game 6.

Pick Made: Apr 26, 1:03 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total AssistsJrue Holiday Over 6.5 Total Assists -131
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1368.5
70-45 in Last 115 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

We're getting a nice discount on this assist line as Jrue Holiday dished out 7.4 assists in the regular season and that number has increased to 8.5 in the postseason. Holiday logged 41 minutes in game four and I expect him to receive a similar workload tonight as the Bucks are facing elimination. Holiday handed out 27 assists in the first two of games of this series in Milwaukee. I expect the Bucks to keep their foot on the gas through all four quarters and Jimmy Butler has certainly proven that no lead is safe. Holiday typically shows up for big games and I expect the veteran point guard to play a great game. Holiday is capable of dishing out seven assists even in a blowout as well.

Pick Made: Apr 26, 5:04 am UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

Miami Heat
Saturday, Dec 20, 2025
Avatar
SF
Andrew Wiggins
BackQuestionable
Avatar
PG
Davion Mitchell
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
PG
Tyler Herro
ToeOut
Avatar
SG
Pelle Larsson
AnkleOut
Wednesday, Dec 17, 2025
Avatar
PF
Nikola Jovic
ElbowOut
Sunday, Dec 14, 2025
Avatar
SG
Terry Rozier
Not Injury RelatedOut
Milwaukee Bucks
Sunday, Dec 07, 2025
Avatar
PF
Giannis Antetokounmpo
CalfOut
Thursday, Nov 13, 2025
Avatar
SG
Taurean Prince
NeckOut
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