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    Sun, Apr 2311:00 pm UTCState Farm Arena
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Boston
    Celtics
    BOS
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L68-34
    ATS55-46
    O/U52-48-2
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Atlanta
    Hawks
    ATL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L44-45
    ATS39-48
    O/U50-38-1
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    68-34
    Win /Loss
    44-45
    55-46
    Spread
    39-48
    52-48-2
    Over / Under
    50-38-1
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    C
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    SF
    Avatar
    C
    Avatar
    SG
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    BOS @ ATL
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!

    MONEYLINE
    BOS @ ATL
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    OVER / UNDER
    BOS @ ATL
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    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadAtlanta +7 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1029.25
    74-46 in Last 120 NBA Picks
    +224
    6-3 in Last 9 NBA ATS Picks
    +316.5
    8-5 in Last 13 BOS ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its past nine at home and averaging 130.0 ppg in that stretch, which is exactly what they scored in winning Game 3. Trae Young had his best game of the series by far, so if his confidence is back I think the Hawks not only will cover tonight but might win again -- especially if Marcus Smart is out (questionable). The SL Model has Atlanta winning.

    Pick Made: Apr 23, 5:26 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + AssistsTrae Young Under 33.5 Total Points + Assists -106
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1368.5
    70-45 in Last 115 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Trae Young wants to run pick & roll over, and over, and over again. Nearly half of Young's points (12.7 PPG) are generated from the pick & roll and and as a result the Hawks had the highest frequency of pick & roll ball handler possessions in the regular season. Boston has responded by deploying a drop coverage that has been mostly successful, particularly through the first two games. Al Horford to absolutely no one's surprise a master of drop coverage and Boston has bevy of guards (Marcus Smart, Derrick White, Malcolm Brogdon) who are willing to fight through screens or slip underneath them. This nullifies Young's ability to score in the lane or find a big with a lob pass. The Celtics are willing to live with Trae shooting step back threes or contested jumpers and he is still talented enough to get hot (see game 3) however, the shots he was making were very difficult. I think Boston will continue to force Trae into bad shots which will limit his effectiveness as a scorer and playmaker.

    Pick Made: Apr 23, 1:21 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + Assists + ReboundsMarcus Smart Over 21.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -113
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Larry's Analysis:

    Marcus Smart has gone Over this number in all three playoff games (25, 25 and 35 combined points, rebounds and assists), and historically he tends to produce when matched up against Trae Young. He's playing 32 minutes per game in this series. Known for his defense, Smart is shooting 41 percent from deep against Atlanta as the Hawks concern themselves with Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. Look for Smart to deliver another strong all-around game.

    Pick Made: Apr 23, 12:44 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rebounds + AssistsJaylen Brown Over 9.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -125
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1368.5
    70-45 in Last 115 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    This is a very friendly number for Brown who averaged a combined 10.4 rebounds and assists in the regular season. Marcus Smart is questionable for game 4 and seems like there is a good shot he misses this game. Brown is already one of the higher usage players in the league but he will get some additional touches if Smart sits. Brown dealt with foul trouble in game three and had a quiet game two performance but I expect him to play upwards of 40 minutes in what is certainly a must win game as Boston wants to avoid heading home with this series tied 2-2.

    Pick Made: Apr 23, 4:37 am UTC
    Point SpreadAtlanta +6.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +420
    13-8 in Last 21 NBA Picks
    +220
    11-8 in Last 19 NBA ATS Picks
    +260
    7-4 in Last 11 ATL ATS Picks
    Stephen's Analysis:

    Atlanta wasn't fazed by the 0-2 series deficit as it stormed back for a 130-122 win in Game 3. Trae Young (32 points) and Dejounte Murray (25 points) were solid in that one. My simulations have them combining for almost 60 points in Game 4 in what I project to be a one-possession game. Take the points with Atlanta at home.

    Pick Made: Apr 23, 12:54 am UTC

    Team Injuries

    Boston Celtics
    Wednesday, May 15, 2024
    Avatar
    C
    Kristaps Porzingis
    CalfQuestionable
    Atlanta Hawks
    Thursday, Apr 18, 2024
    Avatar
    SF
    Saddiq Bey
    KneeOut
    Avatar
    C
    Onyeka Okongwu
    ToeQuestionable
    Avatar
    SG
    Seth Lundy
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    SF
    Jalen Johnson
    AnkleQuestionable