Both teams are in need of a win. The Heat were just embarrassed by the Warriors last week. Golden State just lost at Detroit and Charlotte and has yet to win a road game this season. The Heat have a slight advantage in creating turnovers and in 3-point percentage. Miami will be motivated for some revenge. I’m on the Heat.

Both teams feel a sense of urgency after losing two straight, but I like the defending champs in this spot. Their 128-114 loss in Detroit on Sunday came on the second night of a back-to-back, and Klay Thompson didn't play. He'll return tonight against a Heat team allowing opponents to shoot 39 percent from deep. Steph Curry lit up Miami for 33 points in last Thursday's 123-110 win back home. The Heat have fallen from sixth in defensive rating last season to 19th this season, and coach Erik Spoelstra is bemoaning too much one-on-one offense. P.J. Tucker is gone and Victor Oladipo has yet to play this season. Take the road dogs.