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Mon 05/30 | 12:30 AM UTC | Miami
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Boston Celtics 17-4, 12-8 ATS
BOS -3-110
BOS -150
Over 198-110
Miami Heat 10-11, 7-13 ATS
MIA +3-110
MIA +130
Under 198-110

Expert Picks

NBA | Boston 100 @ Miami 96 | 05/30 | 12:30 AM UTC

Boston -150

WIN

ANALYSIS: So take this with a grain of salt because I just had two mimosas with my mom ... I really don't understand this series. I think the Celtics are the better team and then they go poo the bed. Gotta roll with the talent here, though, even on the road. Just would like a competitive game.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+400 13-5 IN LAST 18 NBA ML PICKS
+886 30-13 IN LAST 43 BOS ML PICKS
+537 20-9 IN LAST 29 MIA ML PICKS

Season Splits

17-4, 12-8 ATS
10-11, 7-13 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
54-42-3
56-43
56%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
65%
32-17
27-23
54%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
51%
35-33-2
21-10
67%
When Spread was -4.5 to -1.5
SPREAD
When Spread was +1.5 to +4.5
57%
12-9
8-5
61%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
66%
16-8
4-2
66%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
63%
28-16-1
26-16
61%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
56%
50-39-2
53-42
55%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
58%
47-34-3
50-35
58%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
55%
5-4
4-5
44%