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Wed 05/25 | 1:00 AM UTC | Dallas
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Golden St. Warriors 68-35, 53-46 ATS
GS +1.5-110
GS +105
Over 215.5-110
Dallas Mavericks 61-38, 56-42 ATS
DAL -1.5-110
DAL -125
Under 215.5-110

Expert Picks

Golden St. 109 @ Dallas 119 | 05/25 | 1:00 AM UTC

Dallas -119

WIN

ANALYSIS: No Otto Porter Jr. tonight for the Dubs. Obviously that doesn't matter too much, but he was pretty good the first two games of this series and the Warriors aren't all that deep. I guess I'm just going to pick Dallas because Golden State has shown a propensity to let up in clinching games on the road in these playoffs: Lost Game 4 in Denver by five and was obliterated by 39 in Game 5 in Memphis. No question in my mind that GS finishes this off in Game 5 back at home, but we'll give Dallas one. Luka's supporting cast can't possibly shoot as bad as it did in Game 3.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2847 93-39 IN LAST 132 NBA ML PICKS
+873 17-5 IN LAST 22 DAL ML PICKS
+111 10-6 IN LAST 16 GS ML PICKS

Season Splits

68-35, 53-46 ATS
61-38, 56-42 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
49-43-4
55-42-1
56%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
44%
20-25-2
27-20-1
57%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
57%
12-9
33-20-1
62%
When Spread was PK to +3
SPREAD
When Spread was -3 to +3
45%
5-6
14-4
77%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
9-9
20-13-1
60%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
61%
27-17-1
31-17
64%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
52%
47-42-4
52-38-1
57%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
51%
40-37-4
49-36-1
57%
vs DAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs GS
57%
4-3
3-4
42%