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Sun 05/22 | 12:30 AM UTC | Boston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Miami Heat 64-35, 56-43 ATS
MIA +5.5-110
MIA +205
Over 207.5-110
Boston Celtics 65-40, 57-45 ATS
BOS -5.5-110
BOS -250
Under 207.5-110

Expert Picks

Miami 109 @ Boston 103 | 05/22 | 12:30 AM UTC

OVER 208

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Heat and Celtics are both elite defensive teams, but each side each side has put on an impressive offensive display in the series so far. The average total is 227 points and 10 players are averaging at least 10 points per game in the series. I'm taking the over on any total below 210 until Boston and Miami cancel each other out.

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+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 NBA O/U PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA O/U PICKS

Season Splits

64-35, 56-43 ATS
65-40, 57-45 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
54-41
52-40-3
56%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
58%
27-19
21-23-3
47%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
70%
19-8
33-31-2
51%
When Spread was +4 to +7
SPREAD
When Spread was -7 to -4
66%
6-3
15-11-2
57%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
68%
15-7
18-23-2
43%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
63%
24-14
26-14-1
65%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
56%
51-40
48-37-2
56%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
59%
48-33
45-32-3
58%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
40%
2-3
3-2
60%