Expert Picks
Boston 107 @ Miami 118 | 05/18 | 12:30 AM UTC
Miami -2.5
WIN
ANALYSIS: Marcus Smart and Al Horford have been ruled out of Tuesday's game, and that should give the Heat a significant advantage. While the home team won't have Kyle Lowry, the absence of Boston's top playmaker and rebounder is more impactful. If you combine those factors with the fact the Robert Williams will have to hold down Bam Adebayo after missing four games, Miami seems like the easy choice against the spread.
Season Splits
65-40, 57-45 ATS
64-35, 56-43 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
51-39-3
53-40
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
65%
30-16
26-21
55%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
69%
18-8-1
34-32
51%
When Spread was +3 to +6
SPREAD
When Spread was -6 to -3
42%
3-4-1
12-11
52%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
65%
15-8
22-20
52%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
65%
25-13-1
23-13
63%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
56%
47-36-2
50-39
56%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
58%
44-31-3
47-32
59%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
66%
2-1
1-2
33%