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Fri 05/13 | 1:30 AM UTC | Dallas
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Phoenix Suns 71-23, 51-43 ATS
PHO -2-115
PHO -135
Over 210.5-110
Dallas Mavericks 61-38, 56-42 ATS
DAL +2-105
DAL +115
Under 210.5-110

Expert Picks

Phoenix 86 @ Dallas 113 | 05/13 | 1:30 AM UTC

Dallas +2

WIN

ANALYSIS: Like Heat-Sixers, I don't see a huge reason to pick the road team here. Since getting Luka Doncic back from injury, the Mavs have had three pretty easy home wins in these playoffs (two in this series). Something is amiss with Chris Paul as well. He has totaled 24 points, 13 turnovers and 12 fouls in the past three games. The SportsLine Projection Model has Phoenix winning by a point. Hey, that works for me as I don't care otherwise ... although certainly would like a Game 7 on Sunday. "Actually a pretty nice little Sunday, we're going to go to Home Depot. Yeah, buy some wallpaper, maybe get some flooring, stuff like that. Maybe Bed, Bath, & Beyond, I don't know, I don't know if we'll have enough time!” Name that movie ... Agree/disagree? Twitter: @jordanpaytonsn1

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+2188 126-75-1 IN LAST 202 NBA PICKS
+290 4-1 IN LAST 5 DAL ATS PICKS
+180 4-2 IN LAST 6 PHO ATS PICKS

Season Splits

71-23, 51-43 ATS
61-38, 56-42 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
51-42
53-39-1
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
58%
27-19
26-19-1
57%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
54%
44-37
20-20
50%
When Spread was -3.5 to -1
SPREAD
When Spread was +1 to +3.5
73%
14-5
9-13
40%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
57%
20-15
6-7
46%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
54%
18-15
29-14
67%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
55%
48-38
50-35-1
58%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
54%
43-36
47-33-1
58%
vs DAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PHO
50%
4-4
4-4
50%