This line should be higher. The Warriors have found their groove on both ends with Stephen Curry and Draymond Green back in action, and Jordan Poole on fire to start the postseason. This line reflects the Nuggets coming home in desperation mode, which is true, but the reason they're desperate is because they're overmatched. Golden State is playing for something bigger than this series and knows the value of closing it out as quickly as possible. Warriors cover.

The Nuggets won the first three meetings of the season series and the Warriors have won the last three. It’s the Draymond Green effect that has catapulted the Warriors to the top-rated team in the NBA and two blowout wins to start the series. The Nuggets have run out of gas. Their backcourt is a disaster and being home likely won’t change much. Losses in five of the last seven include home defeats to the Lakers, Spurs and Timberwolves. They’re 4-10 ATS in their last 14. Back the Warriors to cover