Expert Picks
NBA | Utah 104 @ Dallas 110 | 04/19 | 12:30 AM UTC
Dallas +5
WIN
ANALYSIS: The Jazz closed out the regular season 2-9 ATS and went 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. They covered in Game 1, but I have to take the points in Game 2 with the home team despite Luka Doncic (calf) likely being out again. The last 63 instances of this situation (down 0-1 at home) have seen the home team go 40-23 ATS in Game 2. The Jazz had 19 more rebounds in Game 1 than the Mavs, but only three steals and 14 turnovers. They played lazy like the end of the regular season but came away with the win. Mavericks to cover.
Season Splits
51-36, 34-51 ATS
61-38, 56-42 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
42%
34-47-2
46-36-1
56%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
41%
17-24-1
22-19-1
53%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
45%
33-40-1
16-17
48%
When Spread was -6.5 to -3.5
SPREAD
When Spread was +3.5 to +6.5
42%
9-12-1
5-9
35%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
47%
16-18
4-7
36%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
40%
11-16-2
22-11
66%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
41%
31-43-2
43-32-1
57%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
42%
29-39-2
40-30-1
57%
vs DAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs UTA
20%
1-4
4-1
80%