The Pistons have become a handful down the stretch. They are not only 5-2 over their last seven games, but they went 7-0 ATS during that stretch. That included two games against the Celtics and one each against the Cavaliers, Hornets and Raptors, so they haven’t exactly had an easy schedule, either. The Hawks are only 10-21 ATS on the road, so while I think the Pistons lose this game, I can see them keeping things relatively close.

My model says the Pistons cover in more than 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Detroit has won three of its last four contests, and its lone defeat in that span was by just three points at Washington. The Hawks have posted back-to-back victories, both by fewer than seven points, after losing at Boston. Look for the Pistons to at least keep it close.