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    Wed 07/07 | 1:00 AM UTC | Phoenix
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Milwaukee Bucks 59-27, 43-37 ATS
    MIL +5-110
    MIL +190
    Over 219.5-110
    Phoenix Suns 51-41, 46-44 ATS
    PHO -5-110
    PHO -220
    Under 219.5-110

    Expert Picks

    NBA | Milwaukee 105 @ Phoenix 118 | 07/07 | 1:00 AM UTC

    Phoenix -234

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: Well, we've got tipoff in an hour, and I really don't like the spread of 5.5 points because of the Giannis uncertainty. Part of me thinks the Bucks might be better off resting him until Game 3 on Sunday at home when he surely would be close to 100 percent instead of, what, 70 percent today? Plus, he actually could disrupt Milwaukee's rhythm a bit, although I'm not dumb enough to say the Bucks are better without him. As a few other guys have written for their picks, home teams have absolutely dominated in Game 1 of the NBA Finals since 2005. Thus, Suns it is on the moneyline.

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    Matt Severance

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