loading...
Sat 06/26 | 12:30 AM UTC | Milwaukee
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Hawks 50-35, 48-36 ATS
ATL +8.5
ATL +310
Over 226
Milwaukee Bucks 54-30, 37-45 ATS
MIL -8.5
MIL -380
Under 226

Expert Picks

Atlanta 91 @ Milwaukee 125 | 06/26 | 12:30 AM UTC

Atlanta +7.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Milwaukee beat the Nets in part due to big contributions from the likes of PJ Tucker and Brook Lopez, but the way the Hawks play offensively renders those two essentially unusable for the Bucks in this series -- they were a combined minus-16 with 11 points in 55 minutes in Milwaukee's Game 1 upset loss to Atlanta. I'm not sure Mike Budenholzer is a good enough coach to solve the issue. Do I think the Bucks lose a second straight at home Friday? No, but if oddsmakers want to keep gifting all these points on the Hawks, I'll keep taking them. The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their past five after a loss.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+799 112-76 IN LAST 188 NBA PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 ATL ATS PICKS

Season Splits

50-35, 48-36 ATS
54-30, 37-45 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
57%
48-36-1
37-45-2
45%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
51%
22-21-1
21-21
50%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
54%
24-20
35-39-2
47%
When Spread was +7 to +10
SPREAD
When Spread was -10 to -7
42%
3-4
14-9-2
60%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
57%
16-12
20-19
51%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
51%
18-17
15-17
46%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
56%
46-36-1
36-44-2
45%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
60%
42-28
32-36-2
47%
vs MIL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
50%
2-2
2-2
50%