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Thu 06/24 | 12:30 AM UTC | Milwaukee
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Hawks 49-35, 47-36 ATS
ATL +8
ATL +285
Over 225
Milwaukee Bucks 54-29, 37-44 ATS
MIL -8
MIL -345
Under 225

Expert Picks

Atlanta 116 @ Milwaukee 113 | 06/24 | 12:30 AM UTC

UNDER 226

PENDING

ANALYSIS: Game 1 of an unlikely Eastern Conference Finals matchup with a huge total. Too big according to my model as more than 70 percent of simulations land Under 226 points -- way Under. The Under is 4-1 in the past five meetings.

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Stephen Oh

Data Scientist
+210 12-9 IN LAST 21 NBA PICKS
+1151 17-5 IN LAST 22 ATL O/U PICKS

Season Splits

49-35, 47-36 ATS
54-29, 37-44 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
47-36-1
37-44-2
45%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
21-21-1
21-20
51%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
53%
23-20
35-38-2
47%
When Spread was +6.5 to +9.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -9.5 to -6.5
40%
4-6
10-11-2
47%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
55%
15-12
20-18
52%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
50%
17-17
15-16
48%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
55%
45-36-1
36-43-2
45%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
59%
41-28
32-35-2
47%
vs MIL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
33%
1-2
2-1
66%