The Pelicans have lost three straight, allowing an average of 131.6 points. Stan Van Gundy is a defensive coach with a team that cannot defend. The Grizzlies also were struggling until Sunday's 14-point win in Sacramento. One key to that victory was the return of Brandon Clarke, who had 13 points, four rebounds and four assists in 22 minutes. He should play even more tonight. Play the home dog.

My model says the Grizzlies cover in more than 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value at this number. Memphis has won two of its last three contests following a four-game losing streak, with both victories being by at least 14 points. The Pelicans are in the midst of a three-game losing streak during which each setback was by 11 or more points. Look for Memphis to avenge its loss at New Orleans earlier this month.