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Thu, Jul 239:15 pm UTCBusch Stadium
80 F
Arizona
Diamondbacks
ARI
Last 5 ML
W/L60-54
ATS61-53
O/U48-60-6
FINAL SCORE
10
-
6
St. Louis
Cardinals
STL
Last 5 ML
W/L56-58
ATS62-52
O/U44-64-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
60-54
Win /Loss
56-58
61-53
Spread
62-52
48-60-6
Over / Under
44-64-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
ARI @ STL
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MONEYLINE
ARI @ STL
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OVER / UNDER
ARI @ STL
Subscribers Only

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46%
PUBLIC
54%
MONEY
49%
PUBLIC
51%
MONEY
Over73%
PUBLIC
Under27%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineSt. Louis -120
LOSS
Unit0.5
+1598
154-88-2 Last 244 MLB
+1531.5
110-58 Last 168 MLB ML
+459
42-22 Last 64 MLB ML
Matt's Analysis:

We have about a 30-minute deadline before plays. This is in about 25 minutes in theory, but games never start really on time. They have to have mascot runs, Morganna (showed my age), etc. Anyways, I wasn't going to play but Ketel Marte was a late Snakes scratch. So that's what this is.

Pick Made: Jul 23, 8:59 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Walks AllowedMichael McGreevy Under 1.5 Total Walks Allowed -153
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1717
69-42 Last 111 MLB Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Michael McGreevy is under this line in 12/19 starts this season, including each of his last five outings, and 6/9 at home. He’s a contact-oriented pitcher with a ground ball rate in the 75th percentile and a whiff rate in the 8th percentile. He’ll face a Diamondbacks lineup that only features three hitters with an above average walk rate against righties. And most importantly, the Diamondbacks make a ton of contact: 79.3% is the third highest mark. McGreevy just faced the D-Backs last week and only encountered three, three-ball counts (all with two strikes). I don’t anticipate McGreevy drawing too many deep counts today.

Pick Made: Jul 23, 7:59 pm UTC on DraftKings
First 5 Innings Run LineFirst 5 Innings Arizona +0.5 -143
WIN
Unit1.0
+265
4-1 Last 5 MLB Game Props
Larry's Analysis:

Arizona starter Brandon Pfaadt fixed his mechanics in the minors and has been a totally different pitcher since returning. He’s won all four of his starts since then while issuing only one walk. Cardinals starter Michael McGreevy is a major regression candidate with a 5.35 expected ERA. Back the Diamondbacks to at least be tied through five.

Pick Made: Jul 23, 7:18 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Outs RecordedMichael McGreevy Over 17.5 Total Pitcher Outs +100
WIN
Unit1.0
+474
10-5 Last 15 MLB Player Props
Eric's Analysis:

It's been a rough last five games for the Cardinals, who went 1-4 since Saturday. But they return home for a makeup game against a suddenly hot Diamondbacks team on Thursday. Instead of taking a side, I'm going to play Michael McGreevy's outs for St. Louis. I was impressed with the right hander after watching him in person last Friday night. He induced ten groundball outs in that contest and pitched at least six innings for the 7th time in his last 8 starts. The Cardinals don't have an scheduled off day for the next two weeks so keeping their bullpen rested will be key. Expect McGreevy, with a 1.89 ERA at home this season, to complete six innings again on Thursday.

Pick Made: Jul 23, 2:37 am UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks
Wednesday, Aug 05, 2026
Avatar
SP
Mike Soroka
Lower BodyIl
Tuesday, Aug 04, 2026
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LF
Lourdes Gurriel
ThighIl
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SP
Blake Walston
ElbowIl
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RP
Drey Jameson
HipIl
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LF
Tommy Troy
ShoulderIl
Monday, Aug 03, 2026
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SP
Zac Gallen
ElbowIl
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LF
Jordan Lawlar
HamstringIl
Sunday, Aug 02, 2026
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RP
Justin Martinez
ElbowIl
Saturday, Jul 18, 2026
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RP
A.J. Puk
ElbowIl
Tuesday, Jun 30, 2026
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SP
Ryne Nelson
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Jun 03, 2026
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SP
Corbin Burnes
ElbowIl
Monday, Jun 01, 2026
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SP
Cristian Mena
ShoulderIl
Thursday, Feb 19, 2026
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RP
Andrew Saalfrank
ShoulderIl
St. Louis Cardinals
Tuesday, Aug 04, 2026
Avatar
3B
Ramon Urias
ElbowIl
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RF
Jordan Walker
KneeProbable
Thursday, Jul 23, 2026
Avatar
RP
Max Rajcic
ElbowIl
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