At -135, this makes for a fair value play and with confirmation Daulton Varsho is out after leaving yesterday's game, I'm siding with Arizona to win. Toronto's in a rut losing five of six and lost another important piece of the lineup last night, while the DBacks get back Lourdes Gurriel off IL here. The Arizona bullpen has been used sparingly the last few games and they rank #1 in MLB over the last two weeks for ERA, as Closer Paul Sewald leads all pitchers in saves. Zac Gallen vs Max Scherzer should favor Gallen at home, but don't love his strikeouts being down. Still, the Toronto lineup is much thinner than usual, and in the end Arizona should be able to outlast them.

Had planned to be done today assuming the Twins and Cubs won. Alas, a wash as the Minny bullpen choked. I'm coming up with a new term for bullpen in future picks because it makes my skin crawl. "Asparagus" is in the lead as that also grosses me out. It's sad the state of Toronto's Max Scherzer these days. Hey, if I can get $15 million I'm not retiring, either. But the former Diamondback and lock first-ballot HOFer looks utterly shot with a 9.58 ERA. And it's ace Zac Gallen for the Snakes, so this seems a quite fair price. The Arizona lineup gets a big boost with the activation off IL and season debut of former All-Star (and Blue Jay) Lourdes Gurriel.

Max Scherzer, 41, hasn’t gotten out of the third inning in either of his last two starts. The D’backs’ offense has been scoring, six-plus in three of four and five-plus in seven of 11. So it should offer support for Zac Gallen, who faces a Toronto offense with a .626 OPS vs. RHPs the last 15 days.