B365 @ -125. It’s been the tale of two seasons for Brandon Pfaadt. The Diamondbacks starter had a strong April, but since then has pitched to a 7.25 ERA while staying under this line in eight of eleven starts. Struggling mightily the third time through the batting order (.955 OPS allowed), Terry Louvullo has pulled Pfaadt at less than 90 pitches in three straight starts. The Giants offense is inconsistent, but they do have a solid history against Pfaadt, and do excel at running up pitch counts. The Giants see the fourth most pitches per plate appearance, and chase pitches out of the zone at the fifth lowest rate.

The Giants and Diamondbacks have gone over four of their last five meetings, but tonight appears an easy over because Brandon Pfaadt is starting, and beyond losing his last three starts, he's gone over eight of his last nine starts. Robbie Ray makes his return to Arizona, and when he faced them for the first time in May in San Francisco, the Giants won 10-6, facing Pfaadt, with Ray allowing three runs in the game. The Diamondbacks have gone over five of their last six games. Just the over.

The Giants came out swinging last night, but won in extra innings, outlasting the DBacks to win their first of the series. Arizona won the first two games so winning this final game of the series would be huge for San Fran to tie it up instead of losing three of four. On the slate today, Brandon Pfaadt owns the highest xERA at 6.80, the highest hard hit rate just under 50% and the highest barrel rate, among all starting pitchers. Meanwhile, Robbie Ray's 2.91 xERA is not far off from his real 2.75 ERA. The DBacks has been good against lefties but they continue to miss Corbin Carroll's bat and the key pieces for the Giants have fared well in limited action against Pfaadt.

It was about time for the Giants to snap out of their funk after losing seven of eight, so the extra-innings win last night in Phoenix was welcome and now gives SF a chance to take this series at Chase Field. Robbie Ray has been the most-consistent member of the Bob Melvin's rotation, with his 8-3 record and 2.75 ERA, and off a very good effort last Saturday vs. the Chisox, allowing just one run and four hits in 6 IP. As for Arizona counterpart Brandon Pfaadt, he seems to have a ceiling of five innings, and even that hasn't keep down his ERA, which is at 7.25 in eleven appearances since the start of May. Play Giants on the Money Line.