This current Milwaukee lineup has seen success against Erick Fedde in their careers. Three of the last four games he’s started has seen seven runs, or more. Half of Cardinals lineup also have a good track record against Freddy Peralta as well. Peralta has been pitching well at home this season, owning a 1.29 ERA and yet to lose a game. Neither of these teams are hitting over .240 over their last seven days and both bullpens are in the bottom half of the majors in ERA in the NL.

DraftKings. Freddy Peralta is a scary fade - he can punch out double digit guys any given start. But the fact is that we’ve seen the Brewers ace pitch to contact a bit more as the season has drawn on. Peralta is under this line in seven of his last ten starts. He’ll get a familiar interdivisional opponent in the Cardinals - St. Louis has been one of the more strikeout resistant teams all season, with a 19% strikeout rate against righties (20% over the last two weeks).

Freddy Peralta is ties for 12th in MLB with a 1.50 ERA in the first 5 innings of home games. He is allowing a .194 avg and .528 OPS in those contests and 45 of his 6 home starts are under this total. I think Erik Fedde, who isn't great on the road, can fare well against a middling lineup. Four of his 6 road starters are under this total in the first 5. The Brewers are 23-12 to the under in the first 5 at home.