The Rangers have lost eight of 10, in large part because of their offensive woes. Texas owns an MLB-worst .537 OPS over the last 15 days. Now the Rangers have to deal with Cardinals starter Matthew Liberatore (2.73 ERA, 1.01 WHIP). The lefty has allowed two or fewer runs in eight straight starts. Texas counters with Jack Leiter, who carries an expected ERA of 4.87. Back St. Louis to improve to 19-7 in May.

FanDuel. Matthew Liberatore has broken out for the Cardinals this season. The former top prospect is pitching to a 2.73 ERA across ten starts (one rain shortened), with a 2.96 expected ERA. His strikeout metrics are average - 21.5% is in the 46th percentile, but he’s pitching deep enough into games to have cleared this line in five of nine full starts. Of those nine full starts, only two games have come against a team in the top half of strikeout percentage versus lefties (both against the Pirates, who he carved up for seven and eight strikeouts). The rangers have the third highest strikeout rate against lefties, and have struggled to hit them all season (.590 OPS, 68 wRC+).

The Rangers are only 27-30 on the season, struggling with their bats, averaging only 3.2 runs per game. The good news for bettors is that they're the best under team in baseball, staying under 39 times so far. Cardinals starter Matt Liberatore has allowed two runs or less in eight consecutive starts, with the Cardinals winning three of his last four. Jack Leiter has stayed under the total in three of his last four starts. This game stays under.