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Fri, May 1611:05 pm UTCOriole Park at Camden Yards
73 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Washington
Nationals
WAS
Last 5 ML
W/L53-79
ATS65-67
O/U66-57-9
FINAL SCORE
4
-
3
Baltimore
Orioles
BAL
Last 5 ML
W/L60-74
ATS63-71
O/U56-74-4
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
53-79
Win /Loss
60-74
65-67
Spread
63-71
66-57-9
Over / Under
56-74-4
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
WAS @ BAL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
WAS @ BAL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
WAS @ BAL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

42%
PUBLIC
58%
MONEY
50%
PUBLIC
50%
MONEY
Over93%
PUBLIC
Under7%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Pitcher StrikeoutsMacKenzie Gore Over 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts +100
WIN
Unit1.0
+753
13-5 in Last 18 MLB Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Mackenzie Gore has been lights out this season on the strikeout front; he’s racked up 75 punch-outs in just 52.2 innings, clearing this line in seven of nine starts. He’ll now get Baltimore again (8 K’s in 6 innings pitched in April) - the Orioles have been awful against lefties all season, with a 25% K% and a pitiful 50 wRC+. Seven of eight lefties that the Orioles have faced with a better than average strikeout rate have cleared this line. And Gore’s metrics are elite (93rd percentile in whiff rate, and 96th in strikeout rate).

Pick Made: May 16, 9:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
Money LineBaltimore -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+537
23-17 in Last 40 MLB ML Picks
+883
18-8 in Last 26 BAL ML Picks
Zack's Analysis:

The Baltimore Orioles were a popular wager yesterday to end the Twins win streak, but instead were swept in a shutout loss. They are now just 2-9 over their last eleven games, and will look for a fresh start in their new series against the Washington Nationals. Struggling starter Cade Povich will had his best outing against Washington on April 24th. Take the Orioles to get the best of McKenzie Gore for the second time in a three week span.

Pick Made: May 16, 6:37 pm UTC on BetMGM
Money LineWashington +110
WIN
Unit1.0
+84
4-3 in Last 7 MLB Picks
+389
9-6 in Last 15 WAS ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Nats took 2 of 3 vs the O's in WSH already this season. Both teams have major issues but the O's lineup is a joke. The front office insists of batting a hapless fallen prospect 3rd or 4th and Mackenzie Gore is legit. Cade Povich is pitching on heavy extended rest and will likely be off. O's just played 27 innings vs Twins in 27 hours and got swept while scoring in 2 of those 27 innings. The O's are 57-73 since June 20th, with 3rd worst home winning % in MLB since then.

Pick Made: May 16, 4:00 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
Total Pitcher StrikeoutsMacKenzie Gore Over 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -105
WIN
Unit0.5
+502
23-18 in Last 41 MLB Player Props Picks
Angelo's Analysis:

It looks like there may be some rain to dodge here but in my article posting shortly in the analysis tab, I explain why I'm going to start a ladder here at seven strikeouts on MacKenzie Gore. He matches up with an Orioles team that is dead last in MLB in OPS against lefties, and possesses one of the highest strikeout rates. Gore has four pitches with a better than 47% whiff rate and three pitches that he's racking up strikeouts with. Even with the iffy weather, I feel the 7th strikeout should be the favored side here.

Pick Made: May 16, 2:52 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Pitcher StrikeoutsMacKenzie Gore Over 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -125
WIN
Unit1.0
+1009
20-11 in Last 31 MLB Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

This number should be higher. The Orioles are the worst hitting team against lefties in the majors and MacKenzie Gore, a lefty, leads the majors with 75 strikeouts in 52 2/3 innings. He averages 8.33 strikeouts per start and struck out the O's eight times a few weeks ago.

Pick Made: May 16, 3:47 am UTC on DraftKings

Best Prop Picks

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9 Total Player Props ProjectionPicks for J. Wood, M. Gore, J. Mateo and 6 more players!

Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Washington Nationals
Wednesday, Aug 27, 2025
Avatar
C
Keibert Ruiz
ConcussionIl
Avatar
C
Drew Millas
FingerQuestionable
Avatar
RF
Daylen Lile
IllnessQuestionable
Friday, Aug 22, 2025
Avatar
SP
Trevor Williams
ElbowIl
Tuesday, Aug 12, 2025
Avatar
SP
Josiah Gray
ElbowIl
Thursday, Jul 31, 2025
Avatar
RP
Derek Law
ForearmIl
Wednesday, Apr 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Davidjohn Herz
ElbowIl
Baltimore Orioles
Thursday, Aug 28, 2025
Avatar
RP
Rodolfo Martinez
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
SP
Carlos Tavera
UndisclosedIl
Wednesday, Aug 27, 2025
Avatar
SP
Tyler Wells
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
Brandon Young
HamstringIl
Tuesday, Aug 26, 2025
Avatar
RP
Scott Blewett
ElbowIl
Monday, Aug 25, 2025
Avatar
RP
Albert Suarez
ShoulderIl
Avatar
C
Adley Rutschman
ObliqueIl
Avatar
3B
Jordan Westburg
AnkleIl
Avatar
RP
Colin Selby
HamstringIl
Saturday, Aug 23, 2025
Avatar
RP
Cody Poteet
ShoulderIl
Friday, Aug 22, 2025
Avatar
C
Gary Sanchez
KneeIl
Avatar
RP
Felix Bautista
ShoulderIl
Sunday, Aug 17, 2025
Avatar
SP
Zach Eflin
BackIl
Wednesday, Aug 13, 2025
Avatar
RF
Tyler O'Neill
WristIl
Wednesday, Aug 06, 2025
Avatar
SP
Justin Armbruester
LatIl
Monday, Aug 04, 2025
Avatar
SP
Grayson Rodriguez
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Jul 30, 2025
Avatar
SS
Jorge Mateo
HamstringIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
40%
18-27, -487
15-27, -1402
35%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
34%
8-15, -587
8-12, -546
40%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
42%
16-22, -145
9-16, -920
36%
When Line was -110 to +120
MONEY LINE
When Line was -139 to -109
57%
8-6, +259
5-11, -698
31%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
31%
6-13, -545
7-10, -459
41%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
50%
5-5, +4
5-13, -895
27%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
37%
11-18, -578
6-8, -270
42%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
34%
11-21, -589
11-14, -428
44%
vs BAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs WAS
66%
2-1, +134
1-2, -98
33%
when MacKenzie Gore starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Cade Povich starts
33%
3-6, -287
3-4, -145
42%
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