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Fri, May 1611:05 pm UTCOriole Park at Camden Yards
73 F
Washington
Nationals
WAS
Last 5 ML
W/L66-95
ATS79-82
O/U80-71-10
FINAL SCORE
4
-
3
Baltimore
Orioles
BAL
Last 5 ML
W/L75-87
ATS77-85
O/U65-92-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
66-95
Win /Loss
75-87
79-82
Spread
77-85
80-71-10
Over / Under
65-92-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
WAS @ BAL
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
WAS @ BAL
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OVER / UNDER
WAS @ BAL
Subscribers Only

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42%
PUBLIC
58%
MONEY
50%
PUBLIC
50%
MONEY
Over93%
PUBLIC
Under7%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Pitcher StrikeoutsMacKenzie Gore Over 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts +100
WIN
Unit1.0
+482
30-21 in Last 51 MLB Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Mackenzie Gore has been lights out this season on the strikeout front; he’s racked up 75 punch-outs in just 52.2 innings, clearing this line in seven of nine starts. He’ll now get Baltimore again (8 K’s in 6 innings pitched in April) - the Orioles have been awful against lefties all season, with a 25% K% and a pitiful 50 wRC+. Seven of eight lefties that the Orioles have faced with a better than average strikeout rate have cleared this line. And Gore’s metrics are elite (93rd percentile in whiff rate, and 96th in strikeout rate).

Pick Made: May 16, 9:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
Money LineBaltimore -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+883
18-8 in Last 26 BAL ML Picks
Zack's Analysis:

The Baltimore Orioles were a popular wager yesterday to end the Twins win streak, but instead were swept in a shutout loss. They are now just 2-9 over their last eleven games, and will look for a fresh start in their new series against the Washington Nationals. Struggling starter Cade Povich will had his best outing against Washington on April 24th. Take the Orioles to get the best of McKenzie Gore for the second time in a three week span.

Pick Made: May 16, 6:37 pm UTC on BetMGM
Money LineWashington +110
WIN
Unit1.0
+84
4-3 in Last 7 MLB Picks
+389
9-6 in Last 15 WAS ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Nats took 2 of 3 vs the O's in WSH already this season. Both teams have major issues but the O's lineup is a joke. The front office insists of batting a hapless fallen prospect 3rd or 4th and Mackenzie Gore is legit. Cade Povich is pitching on heavy extended rest and will likely be off. O's just played 27 innings vs Twins in 27 hours and got swept while scoring in 2 of those 27 innings. The O's are 57-73 since June 20th, with 3rd worst home winning % in MLB since then.

Pick Made: May 16, 4:00 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
Pitcher StrikeoutsMacKenzie Gore Over 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -105
WIN
Unit0.5
+530
47-40 in Last 87 MLB Player Props Picks
Angelo's Analysis:

It looks like there may be some rain to dodge here but in my article posting shortly in the analysis tab, I explain why I'm going to start a ladder here at seven strikeouts on MacKenzie Gore. He matches up with an Orioles team that is dead last in MLB in OPS against lefties, and possesses one of the highest strikeout rates. Gore has four pitches with a better than 47% whiff rate and three pitches that he's racking up strikeouts with. Even with the iffy weather, I feel the 7th strikeout should be the favored side here.

Pick Made: May 16, 2:52 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Pitcher StrikeoutsMacKenzie Gore Over 6.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -125
WIN
Unit1.0
+1004
21-12 in Last 33 MLB Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

This number should be higher. The Orioles are the worst hitting team against lefties in the majors and MacKenzie Gore, a lefty, leads the majors with 75 strikeouts in 52 2/3 innings. He averages 8.33 strikeouts per start and struck out the O's eight times a few weeks ago.

Pick Made: May 16, 3:47 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Washington Nationals
Friday, Dec 12, 2025
Avatar
SP
Josiah Gray
ElbowProbable
Thursday, Nov 06, 2025
Avatar
SP
Trevor Williams
ElbowOut
Avatar
C
Drew Millas
FingerProbable
Avatar
P
Davidjohn Herz
ElbowOut
Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025
Avatar
C
Keibert Ruiz
ConcussionProbable
Avatar
SP
MacKenzie Gore
AnkleProbable
Avatar
P
Cole Henry
BackProbable
Baltimore Orioles
Monday, Nov 03, 2025
Avatar
DH
Heston Kjerstad
IllnessProbable
Thursday, Oct 02, 2025
Avatar
RP
Felix Bautista
ShoulderOut
Avatar
P
Chayce McDermott
BackProbable
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