The Twins go for the sweep today against the Orioles, and the Twins are looking to win their fifth straight game. Baltimore has lost four straight and sends Dean Kremer to the mound, who had a stellar outing his last time out against the Royals, pitching seven shutout innings in a 3-0 win. But before that, against teams that could hit, Kremer had trouble giving up five runs to the Tigers and six runs to the Nationals. I'm betting that we get Kremer from the previous two road outings pitching, and not the one that was at home against the Royals. Bailey Ober has won his last four starts and has only allowed three runs in his last three starts. Twins win this game, run-line.

DraftKings / Caesar’s. Dean Kremer is coming off a strong start against the Royals at home, but he’s struggled in the rest of his starts. He’s failed to reach six innings in six of seven outings, pitching to a 5.73 ERA (5.21 xERA). His underlying metrics are rough as well: a .288 expected batting average is in the fifteenth percentile of all pitchers. And he’s been brutal on the road with an 8.17 ERA. To top it off, opponents are hitting 16/38 with three home runs, the third time through the order (1.173 OPS). The Twins are a patient team (4.0 pitches per plate appearance is second most), and are hitting well of late (.736 OPS and 111 wRC+ versus righties the last two weeks).

I'm sorry if betting the Twins to beat the Orioles is boring/predictable, but cash money is not. It's embarrassing what Baltimore is throwing out there on a nightly basis pitching wise: After Maury (Cade) Povich and (Charlie) Morton Downey Jr. -- I'm showing my talk show age -- in the first two, both easy Twins wins, now it's Kramer on Thursday! OK, Kremer as in Dean (sadly not Cosmo). Who is 1-4 with an 8.17 ERA on the road. Newman apparently isn't available ...