FanDuel at -102. There’s enough variables here for me to take the under on Sanchez’s outs prop. He did make it out of his last start unscathed, but I doubt they push him much past 90 pitches with the arm soreness issue lingering. The bullpen is fresh, and the Rays are one of the more patient teams in baseball (9th most pitches per plate appearance and the 8th lowest chase rate). Sanchez has historically been significantly less effective and efficient on the road, and this is a stadium in which he’s never pitched a regular game.

The Phillies own the second-best OPS over the past seven days (.879) and have scored 24 runs in the past three games. The Rays have dropped five of seven, including two shutout losses, and will have their hands full facing lefty Cristopher Sanchez. He owns a 0.75 ERA in two career starts against Tampa. Current Rays have one extra-base hit in 24 at-bats against Sanchez. This is a relatively cheap price to back Philly as it seeks its eighth win in 10 games.

Cristopher Sanchez came back from arm soreness to throw 87 pitches and strike out six Nationals last time out. All indications are he is healthy and will continue to pitch without limitations, plus his velocity was up and he was grabbing whiffs in that last start. The change of speeds with his elite changeup could prove devastating against some of these unseasoned MLB hitters on Tampa Bay, and I'd rather bet on the punch outs vs. a Rays team that's struck out far more of late than his over 17.5 Outs 2nd time back off an injury scare. I have interest in alternate K levels too, as his swinging strike rate is 14.5% and Stuff+ at 115, both very much in stud territory.