Sandy Alcantara looked pretty good in his season debut/return from injury, but this is a nice price to fade a 6th strikeout at under 5.5 +105. I make the number under 5.5 -115.

Juan Soto is heating up and even if Frankie Lindor is still out for the birth of a child they can get people on around Soto. Sandy Alcantara is a stud but he is still working his way back from a long absence and isn't himself yet. Soto has a .289 avg and .869 OBO in 38 career ABs vs him. Marlins pen is pretty suspect after they gutted it last year. With Alcantara on the trade block it could be a quick hook for him, too.

DraftKings. After missing all of 2024 recovering from elbow surgery, Sandy Alcantara returned on Opening Day to strike out seven Pittsburgh Pirates. Now pitching for the first time on four days rest, Alcantara has a tough matchup against a Mets squad that profiles as a low strikeout team. Alcantara has remained below the one strikeout per inning line each season of his career, and his pitch metrics in his first start did not show a significant difference in his arsenal. So, I’m not buying the high strikeout total from his first game, against a Pirates lineup that looks lost at the plate.

The New York Mets surpassed their run production of the first three games of the season, with their fifth inning performance Monday against the Miami Marlins. They scored seven runs surpassing the five they scored in their first three games against the Astros. This comes as no surprise, as the Mets were one of the top run producing teams on turf last year, where they averaged 4.9 runs per game. Additionally, expect the Marlins to be cautious with starter Sandy Alcantara who will pitch in consecutive starts for the first time since August 2023. Take the over.