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Mon, Oct 1411:38 pm UTCYankee Stadium
54 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Cleveland
Guardians
CLE
Last 5 ML
W/L96-74
ATS85-85
O/U72-86-12
FINAL SCORE
2
-
5
New York
Yankees
NYY
Last 5 ML
W/L102-74
ATS89-87
O/U93-78-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
96-74
Win /Loss
102-74
85-85
Spread
89-87
72-86-12
Over / Under
93-78-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
CLE @ NYY
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MONEYLINE
CLE @ NYY
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OVER / UNDER
CLE @ NYY
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12%
PUBLIC
88%
MONEY
8%
PUBLIC
92%
MONEY
Over84%
PUBLIC
Under16%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

First 5 Innings - Total RunsFirst 5 Innings - Total Runs Over 4 -115
PUSH
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

Alex Cobb v Carlos Rodon with the wind blowing out (at least to left) and two lineups who are swinging better than the numbers suggest. Over

Pick Made: Oct 14, 10:33 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
Total Pitcher StrikeoutsCarlos Rodon Under 5.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -149
LOSS
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

I have no life so I’m sitting around thinking of ways to play against Rodon, who seems very discombobulated. This is one of the best ways.

Pick Made: Oct 14, 10:31 pm UTC on BetMGM
Money LineN.Y. Yankees -161
WIN
Unit1.0
+3481
94-55 in Last 149 MLB Sides Picks
+3381
93-55 in Last 148 MLB ML Picks
+1439
43-27 in Last 70 NYY ML Picks
Zack's Analysis:

It’s a pricey spot in game one of the ALCS on the Yankees side. Cleveland is coming off a thrilling game five victory over the Detroit Tigers. Look for the Yankees to use that to their advantage, even if Carlos Rodon struggles similar to his game two performance against the Royals. Cleveland maximized their bullpen to win games four and five over the Tigers, and arms will be tested as Alex Cobb may only go four to five innings. Take the Yankees.

Pick Made: Oct 14, 8:38 pm UTC on BetMGM
Over / UnderUnder 7.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+1919
56-33-3 in Last 92 MLB O/U Picks
+700
9-2 in Last 11 NYY O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

In the nick of time, Cleveland got the offense going to close out the Tigers in the ALDS. Can the Guardians continue in that vein or if the offense slips back into one of its funks like we saw earlier in the Detroit series, and at times during the season. Whatever, Alex Cobb has given Stephen Vogt some serviceable work on the mound, though in limited appearances (2.76 ERA in 16 1/3 IP). Still, 3-4 innings max from Cobb before Vogt goes to the bullpen seems the plan. Carlos Rodon was not sharp on the mound for the Yankees in Game 2 vs. the Royals, but his September work was superb, when fashioning a 2.20 ERA in five starts. Play Guardians-Yankees "Under"

Pick Made: Oct 14, 6:57 pm UTC on BetMGM
Money LineCleveland +140
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1708
63-43-2 in Last 108 MLB Picks
+634
20-14 in Last 34 MLB ML Picks
+320
4-1 in Last 5 NYY ML Picks
Micah's Analysis:

Cleveland has the third-best batting average of the playoffs and it's only .234. The Yankees are only hitting .220 with three home runs in four games. Aaron Judge is going to come out eventually with the big day but it hasn't happened yet and now it might be a mental game with his lack of hitting in the playoffs. I think Cleveland can get the lead off of Carlos Rodon and hang on to it once they get into it with their bullpen. That's been their secret all season. It's a nice price to go with Cleveland.

Pick Made: Oct 14, 5:40 pm UTC on Caesars
Money LineN.Y. Yankees -159
WIN
Unit1.0
+1027.25
78-44 in Last 122 MLB ML Picks
+2324
59-25 in Last 84 CLE ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Not a huge fan of Alex Cobb, who starts on the mound for Cleveland. The 37-year-old has made only four starts all year and wasn't particularly good in his short ALDS outing vs. Detroit. Juan Soto absolutely murders Cobb career, so consider a hitting prop on him. New York's Carlos Rodon has much better numbers at home this year. The Yanks also might get first baseman Anthony Rizzo back after he missed the ALDS due to fractured fingers.

Pick Made: Oct 13, 8:30 pm UTC on BetRivers

Best Prop Picks

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Team Injuries

Cleveland Guardians
Monday, May 19, 2025
Avatar
CF
Lane Thomas
WristIl
Saturday, May 17, 2025
Avatar
CF
Micah Pries
CalfIl
Thursday, May 15, 2025
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CF
George Valera
KneeIl
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
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SP
Shane Bieber
ElbowIl
Tuesday, May 13, 2025
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SP
Ben Lively
ForearmIl
Monday, May 05, 2025
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RP
Paul Sewald
ShoulderIl
Monday, Apr 28, 2025
Avatar
SP
Jack Leftwich
UndisclosedIl
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RP
Trevor Stephan
ElbowIl
Saturday, Apr 26, 2025
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RP
Erik Sabrowski
ElbowIl
Tuesday, Apr 08, 2025
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SP
John Means
ElbowIl
Saturday, Mar 29, 2025
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C
David Fry
ElbowIl
Monday, Feb 17, 2025
Avatar
RP
Sam Hentges
ShoulderIl
New York Yankees
Monday, May 19, 2025
Avatar
SP
Luis Gil
LatIl
Avatar
SP
J.T. Brubaker
RibsIl
Avatar
RP
Edgar Barclay
UndisclosedIl
Sunday, May 18, 2025
Avatar
RP
Kevin Stevens
UndisclosedIl
Saturday, May 17, 2025
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SP
Gerrit Cole
ElbowIl
Avatar
3B
Oswaldo Cabrera
AnkleIl
Avatar
RP
Jake Cousins
ForearmIl
Tuesday, May 13, 2025
Avatar
DH
Giancarlo Stanton
ElbowIl
Monday, May 12, 2025
Avatar
RP
Luis Velasquez
UndisclosedIl
Sunday, May 11, 2025
Avatar
SP
Marcus Stroman
KneeIl
Thursday, May 08, 2025
Avatar
OF
Cole Gabrielson
UndisclosedIl
Friday, May 02, 2025
Avatar
2B
Jazz Chisholm
ObliqueIl
Wednesday, Mar 26, 2025
Avatar
SP
Jayvien Sandridge
UndisclosedIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
58%
97-69, +1883
92-73, -361
55%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
55%
46-37, +1287
45-38, -918
54%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
38-38, +946
71-43, +287
62%
When Line was +126 to +156
MONEY LINE
When Line was -184 to -154
57%
12-9, +781
20-12, +2
62%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
50%
28-28, +910
41-28, -340
59%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
50%
25-25, +409
35-29, -86
54%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
42%
18-24, -507
17-16, -308
51%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
65%
21-11, +809
17-10, +359
63%
vs NYY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CLE
33%
1-2, -92
2-1, +70
66%
when Alex Cobb starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Carlos Rodon starts
50%
1-1, -35
14-9, +49
60%
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