Ranger Suarez won his first 10 games for the Phillies and 13 of his first 14. He wasn't allowing runs, he was an All-Star, and everything was going great. But then the June swoon hit and the good times were no more as he was giving up tons of runs. Now he comes into the playoffs and the Phillies have lost his last three starts and his last four starts have gone over him and that's the theme for today for the Phillies and Mets. Over. The last seven meetings between the Phillies and Mets have gone over. The Phillies have gone over the last eight games. And the Mets have gone over five of their last six games. Over is the play.

It's starting to feel like we're back in 1969 for the Mets. With their backs to the wall, how much fight do the Phils have left? Were this April or May, when the Phils won ten straight starts by Ranger Suarez, the narrative might be different today. But Suarez began to cool in mid-June, and after he shelved for a month just after the All-Star break, his return to active duty has been anything but triumphant, with a 5.74 ERA in seven starts, including Phils losses across the last three. The Mets look very capable of wrapping this up if Jose Quintana pitches as he has the past month, with an 0;.58 ERA across his last five starts. Play Mets on Money Line

Don't get why the Phillies are favored on the road. I hate the Mets but am starting to believe there is something to this Grimace stuff. I used to love Mickey D's as a kid and I can't recall what purpose Grimace served. The Mets have never been able to celebrate a playoff series win at Citi Field previously, and I don't think they win the series if tit goes back to Philly with Zack Wheeler waiting. Ranger Suarez is scheduled Wednesday and had a 6.04 ERA in September. It will be nearly two weeks since he has pitched. After ending the regular season with a 0.74 ERA over his final six starts, NY's Jose Quintana threw six shutout innings in Milwaukee last week.

Phillies keep pressing and batting below .200 as a team and this feels like the end of the Arizona series last year. Their pen looks cooked and Ranger Suarez has a 5.17 ERA in last 15 starts after torrid first few months. He's walked 14 in his last 7 starts, and Mets are locked in and hot. Doesn't get swing and miss and puts too many on. Gave up 2 HR in recent start vs NYM. Jose Quintana was stellar vs PHI a few weeks back (3 H 0 R in 7 IP). Has a 2.17 last 7 reg season starts and was strong in 1st playoff start. Mets could lean heavy on closer after coasting Tues. Vibez are off for Phillies. Go with Grimace