Gomber has not been good lately. And that’s being kind. Let’s isolate him (we get a better price and we don’t lose if it’s tied)

The winds are blowing out at Coors Field but nothing crazy. Milwaukee will use an opener ahead of Bryse Wilson, who has been dominant in two of his past three outings. Colorado's Austin Gomber was brutal in June with a 9.39 ERA but four of his five starts were on the road. Gomber has a 5.44 away ERA but 3.57 in Denver. Our model has 10.5 runs scored.

We have been fading Austin Gomber quite a bit this season and love this spot to do so again. He has lost five straight started by two runs or more, and Rockies have a -20 RD in those starts. Colorado is 5-10 when he starts with nine losses of multiple runs. In his last five starts he has a 9.39 ERA allowing a .350/.389/.580 slash line. Brew Crew is playing good ball and they beat up on bad teams (27-15 vs sub .500) and have been decent vs lefties (11-8), though this isn't an average lefty. Bryse Wilson isn't great but can eat innings. Milwaukee is the far superior team.

Milwaukee's William Contreras is having a really solid season at the plate (.291) and probably is better than his more accomplished brother Willson at this point, but this is a generous price Monday on getting two hits even at Coors Field. Contreras hit just .216 in June and has not seen Rox lefty Austin Gomber.