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Mon, Jun 1710:40 pm UTCPNC Park
73 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Cincinnati
Reds
CIN
Last 5 ML
W/L77-85
ATS87-74
O/U73-80-9
FINAL SCORE
1
-
4
Pittsburgh
Pirates
PIT
Last 5 ML
W/L76-86
ATS86-75
O/U77-81-4
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
77-85
Win /Loss
76-86
87-74
Spread
86-75
73-80-9
Over / Under
77-81-4
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
CIN @ PIT
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MONEYLINE
CIN @ PIT
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OVER / UNDER
CIN @ PIT
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16%
PUBLIC
84%
MONEY
12%
PUBLIC
88%
MONEY
Over90%
PUBLIC
Under10%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

First 5 Innings - Total RunsFirst 5 Innings - Total Runs Under 4.5 -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
Sia's Analysis:

Two teams who are nowehere near elite in the hitting department matchup tonight in Pittsburgh with Carson Spiers and Paul Skenes on the mound. Skenes has been excellent thus far and I expect him to largely control the First five innings for the Pirates. Spiers is a bullpen arm that can go relatively deep and has been pretty good so far this season. While I do expect some regression, I don't think the Pirates are the team that will light him up and I'm expecting 4 runs or fewer in this one.

Pick Made: Jun 17, 5:25 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
First 5 Innings - SpreadFirst 5 Innings Pittsburgh -0.5 -149
WIN
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

The Pirates won seven of the last 10 over the Reds. Both teams come in with identical 34-37 records. But the Pirates have an edge with three starters that could be lethal in the small playoff series if they could just get their hitting figured out consistently and the bullpen they should be fine. Paul Skenes has won his last three starts and five of six this season, he's going to pitch at most six innings so I like the five-inning bet the best with Skenes to win.

Pick Made: Jun 17, 4:30 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 8.5 -118
WIN
Unit0.5
+689.5
51-34-3 in Last 88 MLB O/U Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Waiting a bit paid off as this has risen from 8 to 8.5 at a few books. Don't see it getting any higher so we will just play it now and definitely listed pitchers with rookie right-handers Carson Spiers and Paul Skenes on the mound. We all know how good Skenes is, and the Reds haven't seen him yet. Spiers is not a touted prospect like Skenes but the 26-year-old has given up just two earned over his past 15.1 innings and the Bucs haven't seen him, either. If the F5 total was 4.5 instead of 4 I might take that instead simply as I don't trust either bullpen.

Pick Made: Jun 17, 2:17 pm UTC on FanDuel
First 5 Innings - SpreadFirst 5 Innings Pittsburgh -0.5 -149
WIN
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

Could be a high-K game for Paul Skenes here so maybe he only goes 5 2/3 or something like that. But the Pirates score for him and show up in general with him on the bump (5-1 in his starts) and while Carson Spiers has been great for the Reds, this is just his 3rd career start. Not sure he gets a second trip through lineup. He gives up a lot of contact (1 hit/IP).

Pick Made: Jun 17, 1:36 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 8 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1919
56-33-3 in Last 92 MLB O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Pirates rookie Paul Skenes is becoming must-see stuff like Caitlin Clark, as in six starts he has more than justified the hype (more so than Clark, but we digress). With an ERA of 2.43 and WHIP of 0.96, Skenes is already performing like an ace; ask the Cards, who managed just two hits off of him in six innings last Tuesday. The Reds, however, like their own young pitcher, Carson Spiers, who since his May recall has posted a 1.17 ERA in four long-relief stints, and gets his shot in the rotation tonight. This could be the first of many pitching duels to come featuring these two hurlers! Play Reds-Pirates "Under"

Pick Made: Jun 17, 1:05 pm UTC on FanDuel

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Cincinnati Reds
Thursday, Oct 09, 2025
Avatar
SP
Julian Aguiar
ElbowIl
Monday, Oct 06, 2025
Avatar
SP
Wade Miley
ForearmIl
Sunday, Oct 05, 2025
Avatar
LF
Tyler Callihan
WristIl
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
RP
Alex Young
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Josh Staumont
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Ian Gibaut
ShoulderIl
Avatar
SP
Brandon Williamson
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
Carson Spiers
ElbowIl
Pittsburgh Pirates
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
1B
Enmanuel Valdez
ShoulderIl
Avatar
1B
Endy Rodriguez
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
Jared Jones
ElbowIl
Avatar
RF
Ronny Simon
ShoulderIl
Avatar
3B
Jack Brannigan
ShoulderIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
47%
34-38, -420
35-37, -170
48%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
45%
16-19, -164
17-17, -65
50%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
38%
16-26, -563
13-17, -768
43%
When Line was +134 to +164
MONEY LINE
When Line was -193 to -163
14%
1-6, -451
2-3, -184
40%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
35%
10-18, -503
7-11, -644
38%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
50%
11-11, -135
10-17, -612
37%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
46%
23-27, -641
8-3, +500
72%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
45%
23-28, -363
23-28, -498
45%
vs PIT
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CIN
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +56
100%
when Carson Spiers starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Paul Skenes starts
0%
0-1, -100
5-2, +199
71%
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