Braves starter Bryce Elder has only been lit up in one of three starts -- last time out vs. the Dodgers -- but he's given up a ton of hard contact (46.9 percent). Look for the Mets, held to three runs in this series, to bust out offensively against Elder.

This is a big ask any time you're facing a lineup as lethal as the Atlanta Braves. Severino has pitched well this season but this feels like a natural let down spot for the 9 year veteran. He will face a Braves lineup that hasnt been quite as dominant as last season but I would argue has under performed, despite ranking in the top 10 in most batting metrics.

Acuna will soon be destroying baseballs in the first inning again. He's crushed Severino before. We are starting to get significant value here for someone with his special power. I like him to ambush an early-count fastball tonight

Ozuna remains one of the dominant run producers in the sport. He has gotten to Severino before in a very limited sample size and comes into this game with 38 RBIs and 6 in his last 7 games.

The Bravos have won 4 in a row and they've done it without hitting much. Severino is off to a nice start for the Mets, but he can be pretty erratic and I love what guys like Acuna and Ozuna have done to him in their careers. Atlanta is going to breakout in a big way, it's just a matter of time, and the Phillies dropping one to the Marlins earlier today should have them thinking and managing for the sweep of a lesser Mets team here.