The Padres are 7-3 over their last 10 games and appear to be headed in the right direction after a slow start to their season. Michael Wacha will be on the mound tonight for San Diego and has been the best pitcher in the leagues since May 1st and is sporting a sub 1.00 ERA over that sample. I like the Padres to stay hot and notch a win.

The Giants rank fourth in OPS over the past seven days (.853) and have won seven straight. Rookie center fielder Luis Matos is supplying a big spark, batting .333 with seven runs scored in his first four games. Padres starter Michael Wacha has been brilliant, but he's been a little more vulnerable on the road (3.54 ERA). Strikingly, he has stranded more than 94 percent of baserunners over his past eight starts overall -- a figure ripe for regression.

San Diego won the first two games against the Giants this season. Michael Wacha has been excellent this season but still owns a 3.54 road ERA. San Francisco has won its last seven games and are hitting .298 with a .792 OPS during that span. It’s a bullpen day for the Giants, owning the fourth best bullpen ERA in the NL at 3.77, and San Diego is hitting .195 with a .652 OPS against righties on the road this season.

Michael Wacha hasn’t allowed a run in his last two starts and eight of his last nine starts have stayed Under the total but I don’t think the Giants can just stop hitting as they ride a seven-game win streak with six of them getting Over. Over the streak, they’ve averaged 9.3 runs per game while hitting .324. The wind is blowing out at 26 mph so hitters from both teams will have an edge. Just the Over.