The Nationals have been surprisingly good against left-handed pitching. They are tied for sixth with a .782 OPS. Washington gets to face Mets lefty David Peterson (1-5, 7.68 ERA). He has strong career numbers versus the Nats but is not in good current form. Washington starter Patrick Corbin is less of a punchline this season, and the Mets rank 21st in OPS (.713) against lefties. Corbin has been especially solid the past two starts, fanning nine with no walks while posting a 2.77 ERA.

The Nats' Patrick Corbin is no longer an auto-fade as in 2022 as the lefty has three quality starts in his past four and might actually have some trade value now. Counterpart David Peterson is 1-6 with a 7.68 ERA, so why wouldn't we take the runline? At 25-15, Washington is tied for the best RL mark in the majors.

Two out of three games in this series have been decided by one run and aside from an eight-run outburst in the 5th inning Sunday, the Mets offense looked inept over the last week. David Peterson comes in with a 1-5 record and a 7.68 ERA, looking to slow down a Nationals lineup that's been much better vs lefties. Peterson has allowed four or more runs in five of seven starts while Patrick Corbin on the other side has quietly strung together 5 starts allowing 3 or less runs. The Mets bullpen has been better than the Nationals but we don't even have to win the game to cash this one, I'll take the +1.5 with a lean on the ML.