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Wed 08/03 | 5:05 PM UTC | Bronx
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Seattle Mariners 86-70, +636 ML
SEA +1.5-140
SEA +158
Over 7-115
N.Y. Yankees 96-60, -247 ML
NYY -1.5+118
NYY -190
Under 7-105

Expert Picks

MLB | Seattle 7 @ N.Y. Yankees 3 | 08/03 | 5:05 PM UTC

Seattle +150

WIN

ANALYSIS: I thought the line was a little too high for the Yankees even without Ty France and Julio Rodriguez, but Aaron Judge getting the day off is confirming it. Luis Castillo will make his Mariners debut and he has been dominant lately with a 1.93 ERA in July. Obviously, its very possible he has the first start jitters but at this value we’ll take that chance. Gerrit Cole has been a bit more hittable lately as he was 3-1 with a 4.03 ERA in July. Both bullpens are solid, so I have to go with the value on the Mariners.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+2167 186-139 IN LAST 325 MLB ML PICKS
+901 17-10 IN LAST 27 NYY ML PICKS
+1316 67-49 IN LAST 116 SEA ML PICKS

Season Splits

86-70, +636 ML
96-60, -247 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
57-49, +678
70-36, +387
66%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
53%
30-26, +803
41-15, +563
73%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
43%
29-38, -177
66-32, +310
67%
When Line was +134 to +164
MONEY LINE
When Line was -191 to -161
40%
4-6, -3
15-13, -466
53%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
44%
20-25, +135
41-15, +563
73%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
47%
20-22, +368
15-10, -72
60%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
45%
16-19, +205
15-11, -278
57%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
48%
41-43, -346
54-27, +454
66%
vs NYY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SEA
66%
2-1, +191
1-2, -147
33%
when Luis Castillo starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Gerrit Cole starts
100%
1-0, +149
15-7, -8
68%