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Wed 07/06 | 11:10 PM UTC | Boston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Tampa Bay Rays 63-54, -498 ML
TB +1.5-195
TB +100
Over 9+105
Boston Red Sox 59-60, -601 ML
BOS -1.5+162
BOS -120
Under 9-125

Expert Picks

MLB | Tampa Bay 7 @ Boston 1 | 07/06 | 11:10 PM UTC

Tampa Bay +105

WIN

ANALYSIS: Brayan Bello is the Red Sox top pitching prospect and he will probably have a pretty good career. But the first major league start is a little different. It’s very possible he continues to pitch as well as he was pitching in the minors, but I would say hes more likely than not to struggle. So with that being said, I like the value on the Rays at plus money. Their bats have awoken, they were shutout the first game of this series but that could have been due to the Sunday night travel and Monday day game. The Red Sox also get the Yankees tomorrow so I wouldn’t be surprised if they’re looking ahead while the Rays have tomorrow off and can unload their bullpen. Take the Rays at plus money.

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John Bollman

The Executive
+610 84-69 IN LAST 153 MLB ML PICKS

Season Splits

63-54, -498 ML
59-60, -601 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
44-37, -364
45-36, +233
55%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
48%
19-20, -345
21-17, -220
55%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
40%
11-16, -367
30-18, +293
62%
When Line was -112 to +118
MONEY LINE
When Line was -137 to -107
45%
9-11, -168
15-6, +619
71%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
36%
7-12, -446
19-13, -43
59%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
45%
18-22, -559
12-12, -4
50%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
64%
16-9, +291
6-6, +10
50%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
52%
32-29, -338
33-28, -50
54%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TB
60%
3-2, +30
2-3, -87
40%
when Corey Kluber starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Brayan Bello starts
46%
7-8, -262
0-0, 0
0%