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Wed 09/08 | 11:10 PM UTC | Boston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Tampa Bay Rays 88-51, +2130 ML
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Over 10-105
Boston Red Sox 79-62, +697 ML
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Under 10-115

Expert Picks

Tampa Bay 1 @ Boston 2 | 09/08 | 11:10 PM UTC

OVER 9.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Another day with nice hitting conditions in Boston, as we have winds blowing out of Fenway Park at 13 miles per hour. As I mentioned on Tuesday, the games between these teams in Boston have been very high-scoring thus far this season, and I expect this one to be no different. Tampa Bay is 41-23-2 on the Over when playing on the road and third in the league in WRC+ against right-handers. The Red Sox are looking to bounce back against Rays LHP Shane McClanahan, and his peripheral numbers indicate they have a fair shot to do so. Let’s stick with the trend here and go with the Over.

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Justin Perri

Model Guy
+288 25-20-2 IN LAST 47 MLB O/U PICKS
+230 8-5-1 IN LAST 14 TB O/U PICKS

Season Splits

88-51, +2130 ML
79-62, +697 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
63%
88-51, +2130
79-62, +697
56%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
63%
43-25, +1661
43-29, +189
59%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
53%
28-24, +1018
30-26, +1080
53%
When Line was -120 to +110
MONEY LINE
When Line was -120 to +110
52%
20-18, +188
22-15, +632
59%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
59%
22-15, +1232
9-5, +481
64%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
65%
27-14, +1069
20-28, -807
41%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
65%
65-34, +1492
23-25, -230
47%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
64%
65-36, +1769
56-45, +319
55%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TB
61%
11-7, +268
7-11, -318
38%
when Shane McClanahan starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Nathan Eovaldi starts
61%
13-8, +80
15-12, -90
55%