This just shifted to the Padres being slight favorites on the moneyline, which I frankly don't understand, so like I usually do will take the Rockies at +1.5 on the runline in their own park. It has been easy money almost all season. Colorado has won eight of German Marquez's past nine starts at home with him posting a 1.83 ERA over that span. He's 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA this year in two outings vs. the Friars, and those were both in San Diego.

The Rockies are 39-21 this season at home and the Padres are 2-8 in their last 10 road games. German Marquez has dominated the Padres this season and he has dominated at home going 7-2 with a 3.05 ERA. Matthew Strahm is expected to open and he has allowed runs in each of his last three appearances. The Padres are 27-30 on the road and their taxed bullpen will need to work 7 innings again tonight. Take the Rockies at home.

You see what it says I do right there by my name. I stick with what works. The Rockies have played like a 105-win team at home this season. German Marquez is starting, too. Though he was ravaged last time out, it was on the road against the Giants. The Rockies have won eight of Marquez's last nine home starts, including his most recent home start when he threw six scoreless innings. The Padres are going to try and patch things together with an opener and a pitching staff that has a 4.82 ERA in Coors Field this year along 13 on the injured list right now. Ride the Home Rockies again.

Amidst several injuries, the Padres will start Matt Strahm as an opener for Tuesday’s game against the Rockies. He likely won’t pitch beyond a couple of innings, lessening the impact of his high ERA (8.44). Although the Rockies have been effective at home, pitcher German Marquez has struggled since the All-Star break. Take the Padres at even money.